WTA Western and Southern Open, Cincinnati, Final: Muguruza v Halep, 7pm

Muguruza 2.04, Halep 1.95

Muguruza leads their previous meetings 2-1. Their last match was in April 2015 on clay in Stuttgart. Halep won in 3 sets after Muguruza took set 1. Muguruza’s last win was on an indoor hard court in a Fed Cup tie in Romania in February 2015.  She won in straight sets. In September 2014 she won in 3 sets on a hard court in Wuhan. .

Slightly better overall results for Halep this year though Muguruza’s ROI is higher. Hard court results this season favour Muguruza.

WTA Western and Southern Open, Cincinnati, Final: Muguruza v Halep, 7pm 1

Muguruza played an excellent match to beat Pliskova in straight sets in the semi final. She faced just 3 break points which she saved. Both Kuznetsova and Keys had taken her to 3 sets in previous rounds but she was more focused against the world number 1.

Halep lost just 3 games to Stephens in her semi final. She didn’t face a single break point. That was her easiest win of the week although she has not lost a set so far. She has faced a lot of breaks points though and faced 17 against Konta (broken 4 times).

We have a good chance of 3 sets and a little value on Muguruza as underdog. I favour the Spaniard to take the title.Lay whoever breaks first as I think we will get a few price swings.

Update: Muguruza won easily in 2 sets. She lost just 1 game. Another very poor final from Halep

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