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ATP Australian Open, Fourth round: Dimitrov v Kyrgios, 8am

Dimitrov 2.46, Kyrgios 1.68

Dimitrov leads their previous matches 2-1. The last time they met was earlier this month in the Brisbane semi final. Dimitrov won the opening set but it was Kyrgios who won the match. All their matches were on hard courts with two of them going to three sets.

Kyrgios has held serve 94% of the time this week. Return stats slightly favour Dimitrov.

Kyrgios

Nick Kyrgios

Dimitrov has played well in the first and third rounds but played a shocker in the second round and needed five sets to beat Macdonald. He was broken five times from eleven break points.

I have to favour Kyrgios who dropped his only set of the week to Tsonga. He was broken twice and hit 28 aces. He was only broken once from 4 breakpoints in the first 2 rounds.

Back Kyrgios above 1.85

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WTA Australian Open, Third Round: Kerber v Sharapova, 8am

Kerber 1.87, Sharapova 2.12

Sharapova leads their previous meetings 4-3. They last met  in April 2015 in Stuttgart. Kerber won in 3 sets on a clay court. Sharapova won both their hard court matches.

Sharapova has better hard court results over the last 12 months. She won 80% of her matches compared to 64% for Kerber although Kerber played almost twice as many matches. Sharapova played extremely well in the first set with Sevastova but her level dropped in set two.

Kerber has started the year very strongly and will put the Russian under real pressure.  She won the title in Sydney and has not been tested in her two matches this week.

kerber

Angelique Kerber

Sharapova’s second serve will be a key factor. It faded in the second set in the last match. She will need to maintain the form she showed in the first set of her last match. If she drops again Kerber won’t  let  her off the hook.

We have a good chance of three sets. I favour Kerber to win a great match. Back her above 2.20.

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WTA Australian Open, 3rd round: Kumkhum v Martic, midnight

Kumkhum 1.72, Martic 2.38

Kumkhum won their only previous meeting. That was in Taipei on carpet and she won in 3 sets after losing the opening set.

Their overall results are similar for the last 12  months. They both won 75% of their matches. On hard courts Kumkhum has the advantage with 79% of matches won in comparison to  58%. for Martic.

Martic has won both her matches this week as underdog. She has not dropped a set so far and has served fairly well. She has had to work hard for a lot of her service holds.

Kumkhum

Luksika Kumkhum

Kumkhum has come through the qualifying rounds and beat Bencic in the last round. Bencic had beaten last years finalist Venus Williams in the previous round. She has not lost a set in her 5 matches

Back Kumkhum above 1.95. The sets will be very tight.

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