Trading Tip – ATP US Open, Michelsen v Merida Aguilar
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ATP US Open
Michelsen 1.67 v Merida Aguilar
Due to start at 8:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10
H2H 1-1. Most recent Aug 2026, hard, Aguilar in 3. Michelsen won on hard in March 2026, 2 sets. Hard win %’s slightly favour Aguilar.
Michelsen lost in the 1st round last year. Easy win over Cina in the 1st round. Straight sets win over Nakashima as underdog in the 2nd round.
He reached the 3rd Round in Montreal 2026, Quarter finals in Washington 2026, 4th Round in Miami 2026, 4th Round in Indian Wells 2026, Semi finals in Brisbane 2026.
Aguilar lost in the qual rounds last year. 3 sets win over Fucsovics in the 1st round. 4 sets win over Rublev in the 2nd round as underdog.
He reached the 3rd Round in Cincinnati 2026, Quarter finals in Montreal 2026.
12 month and 2026 stats favour Michelsen on serve and strongly favour Nakashima on return.
4 sets.
Back Michelsen around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.75. Lay set 1 winner.
Match prediction: Michelsen in 4 sets.
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