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Download link: Trading Tips 18th July
WTA Iasi
Sherif v Badosa 1.58
Due to start at 3:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10
H2H 1-1. Most recent Apr 2023, clay, Badosa in 2. Sherif won on clay in 2011. 12 month clay win %’s favour Badosa. They are even in 2026.
Sherif had an easy win in the 1st round. A messy 2 sets win in the 2nd round as favourite. 3rd set tie break win over Putintseva in the q final. Easy win in the semi final.
She won a CH title last week. CH title in June. 2nd round of the French Open 2026. CH semis in Feb and March. CH final and 2 semis in Nov.
Badosa had an easy win over Kalinina in the 1st round. 3 sets win in the 2nd round as 1.15 favourite. 2 sets win over Udvardy in the q final. 3rd set tie break win over Zidansek in the semi final.
She won a CH title last week. 3rd round in Charleston.
12 month WTA stats favour Sherif overall. Stats for the week slightly favour her.
Lay Badosa around 1.35 to 1.40 and remove liability at 1.80. Good chance of 3 sets.
Match prediction: Sherif in 3 sets.
Embed from Getty ImagesUpdate: This match was rain delayed and played on Monday morning at 9 am. Extended rain delays and especially those that delay a match over night can wreck matches. IN this case, you would assume that both were motivated to do well in the final.
Badosa started the match priced at 1.54. She served first. The first 2 games were holds to 15.
0-1
1-1
Badosa went 15-40 behind. She saved the 2 break points but faced another break point which Sherif converted. Badosa’s price only moved to 1.89.
2-1
Sherif went 30-0 ahead and I placed a small back of Badosa at 2.06. Sherif went 4-0 ahead but was pulled back to deuce and then broken. I hedged at 1.58.
2-2
Badosa was broken to 15. I placed a small back of Badosa at 2.00.
3-2
Sherif was broken and I hedged at 1.61 on Badosa’s ladder.
3-3
Badosa was broken to 0. We were potentially very close to the end of the set. Neither was serving well. I waited for set 2.
4-3
The next 3 games were easy holds!
5-3
5-4
6-4
Stats for the set were stronger for Sherif. She led the first serve percentage, first serve points won percentages and 2nd serve points won percentages.
Sherif was price at 1.53/1.54.
Badosa served first in the second set. She was broken to 0. I wanted to see how Badosa was going to serve in this set. She had played a lot of tennis in the last 2 weeks and has an ongoing back problem.
1-0
Sherif faced a break point at 30-40. She recovered to hold.
2-0
Badosa was broken to 30. I decided to stay out of the rest of the match.
3-0
Sherif faced a break point but held after being taken to 2 deuces.
4-0.
Badosa retired.
Sherif won 6-4, 4-0 (ret)
