Trading WTA Limoges Challenger, Kalinina v Parks

WTA Limoges Challenger
Kalinina 1.64 v Parks
Due to start at 10:30 am

Trading Tips entry:

Trading Tips entry for Kalinina v Parks

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No breaks or break points in the first 3 games. Kalinina served at 1-2 and was broken to 30. I backed Kalinina at 2.30.

In the next game, Parks was broken to 30. I removed some of my liability at 1.77. In the next game, Kalinina had a hold to 0 and I removed all liability at 1.59, leaving the green on Kalinina.

The next 4 games were easy holds. Parks served at 5-5 and was broken. Kalinina’s last 2 service games had been easy holds. Normally, I would have waited for the end of the set before laying her. As I has some green already, I laid Kalinina at 1.26 and it was risk free.

Kalinina went 0-30 behind but ended up holding to 30 to take the set. Her price dropped to 1.21. I kept my position which was green on Kalinina and a larger green on Parks.

Parks served first in set 2 and held to 15. it was around this time that the scoreboards seemed to lose the plot, although the bet365 scoreboard showed correctly that Parks then easily broken Kalinina to lead 2-0. Other scoreboards, including the scoreboard on the bet365 live stream showed a completely different score. Kalinina’s price dropped to 1.16 when she was 2-0 down! This was frustrating as the set was going my way, but the market wasn’t. I’m not sure why there was so much confusion as there was a live stream and the umpire was (obviously) calling the correct score! To be fair to Bet365, they had the correct score throughout the whole match.

Parks then held easily. In the 2nd game of the set, Kalinina was doubled over in pain at least twice. She was broken again in the next game and Parks was up 4-0. The market still didn’t know what was happening. Kalinina’s price was 1.45 at 0-4. It should have been nearer to 1.70.

Parks held serve to lead 5-0. Kalinina was at 1.53. She should have been well above her stats price of 1.56. Kalinina finally held serve to get to 1-5. Parks then easily served out the set. I hedged evenly at 1.70 as Parks called for a medical time out for a leg issue.

I didn’t bother with the deciding set. Kalinina had really struggled in that second set and now, Parks was perhaps injured.
In the third set, Kalinina got an early break and that would be the only break of the set.

Kalinina won 7-5, 1-6, 6-3.

 
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