Pablo Andujar 2.12, Albert Ramos 1.87
Due to start around 8 pm
Andujar leads their previous matches 8-3. They last played was in the Gstaad semi final in July 2019. Ramos won on clay in straight sets.
Overall results are quite even. Andujar has the better clay results in the last 12 months. Longer term clay results are even. They have both won 31 of their last 50 (62%).
Andujar won 78% of his clay matches in the last year. He played a mix of ATP and Challenger tournaments. Last year he lost in the first round to Italian Lorenzo Sonego. This week he beat Filip Horansky in straight sets.
Ramos has made a decent start to the season on hard courts. He reached the quarter finals in Adelaide. Last year he won 68% of his clay matches. He also played a mix of ATP and Challenger tournaments. Last year he made the second round by beating Lucky Loser Hugo Dellien in 3 sets. Thus week he was up against qualifier Facundo Bagnis in 2 very close sets.
We have some value on Andujar. There is a decent chance that this goes to 3 sets. Ramos played well in the last round but his first serve will need to find the court more often today. Lay Ramos around 1.50 and remove the liability at 2.00. Lay the set 1 winner. I favour Andujar to win.