Djokovic (2.26) v Nadal (1.78)
Due to start at 2 pm
Djokovic leads their previous matches 29-26. Their most recent match was in the ATP Cup in Australia in January. Djokovic won on a hard court in straight sets. Nadal has won all 3 of their clay matches in the last 4 seasons. Djokovic last beat him on clay in Rome 2016. He won in 2 sets. Nadal leads their French Open matches 6-1.
Overall results in the last year favour Djokovic. They both have excellent clay records and have both been beaten once in the last year on clay.
Djokovic has only lost sets in the last 2 rounds. Carreno Busta took their opening set in the quarter final after Djokovic had a medical time out for treatment on his neck. Tsitsipas came back from 2 sets down to take it to a 5th set in the semi final. Djokovic came through that match as he played the big points better and made better decisions that Tsitsipas.
Nadal has not lost a set in the tournament. If Nadal wins today he draws level with Federer on 20 grand slam titles. He has never been beaten in the French Open final. This is his 13th final at Roland Garros.
Stats for the tournament all favour Nadal. He has converted a massive 79% of break points! (Djokovic converted 53%of his).
Back Nadal around 2.10 or you can wait for him to face break point before backing him. Lay the set 1 winner. Nadal to win in 4.