Egor Gerasimov 2.58, Felix Auger-Alliassime 1.62
Quarter Final. Due to start at 7:30 pm
Aliassime won their only previous match. That was in October 2018 in the semi finals of the Tashkent Challenger. He won on a hard court in 2 very close sets.
Overall results are quite even in the last 12 months. They have both won around 63% of their matches. Both men are strong indoors but Gerasimov has a slight lead.
Aliassime has started to find better form in 2020. He didn’t end last season particularly well. He has needed 3 sets in both his matches this week. In the last round he beat Pierre-Hugues Herbert in a third set tie break.
Gerasimov has come through the qualifying rounds and beat David Goffin and Dennis Novak in the main draw. Novak was not able to break the Gerasimov serve and Goffin managed just 2 breaks of serve.
Stats for the tournament are very close. Return stats are fractionally better for Gerasimov. Aliassime leads the service hold stats with 97% v 91% service games held. This going to be a very tight quarter final.
Some value on Gerasimov and I expect him to take at least a set. We have a very good chance of this going to 3 sets. Lay Aliassime around 1.40 and remove some or all the liability at 1.80. Lay the set 1 winner.