ATP Santiago, Tabilo v Martinez Portero

Semi Final
Tabilo 1.72 v Martinez 2.22
Due to start at 8:30

Martinez 1-0 (Feb 2022, clay, 2 sets). Overall win percentages slightly favour Tabilo. Clay win percentages are even.

Tabilo has not lost a set. He reached the final in Cordoba this month where he lost in 3 sets to Ramos.

Martinez beat Munar in the first round. He won as underdog in 3 sets. In the last round he beat in form Hanfmann in 2 easy sets.

Stats for this tournament favour Tabilo. His stats for their last 10 on clay are better

Decent chance of 3 sets. Some value on Martinez but Tabilo has a slight edge. Lay Martinez around 1.75 and remove liab at 2.30. Lay set 1 winner. Slight edge to Tabilo ton win.

Update: Tabilo was broken first and we got our entry price. He immediately broke back and we got our exit. We could have repeated the trade as the next 2 games were also breaks. Tabilo got a late break to take the set.

Tabilo took a 3-0 lead in set 2 but Martinez won the next 5 games. He won the set. The third set was quite one sided in favour of Martinez. He took a 5-1 lead. Tabilo got one of the breaks back and had 2 bp’s when Martinez served for the match at 5-4. Martinez held.

Martinez won 5-7, 6-4, 6-4.

 
Tennis Trading Guide

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