Sonego (2.7) v Evans (1.57)
Due to start around 2:30 pm
This will be their first meeting.
Long term overall results and also results in the last year favour Evans. He also has the lead indoors.
Sonego had the win of his career in the last round. He played well but Novak Djokovic was tanking the match. Players who beat one of the elite players often don’t play well in their next match. They may not sleep well the night before and will have spent more time that usual with members of the media. He also had a good win in the previous round over 31 ranked Hubert Hurkacz.
Evans had an excellent win over Grigor Dimitrov in the last round. He won in 3 sets as underdog. Dimitrov had beaten Tsitsipas in the previous round in 3 sets and that would have taken a lot out of him both physically and mentally. It should be noted that Tsitsipas seemed to have an issue with his own serve in that match
I am going with Evans to win this one. As usual I will be waiting for a better price in play. Back him above 1.95
I have had a handful of questions in the last few months asking about the advice that I give on this blog and also on Twitter. The most common question is asking if the tips are intended to be backed and left to run.
The short answer is “NO”. The slightly longer answer is “HELL NO”. The long answer is that I very rarely leave a back bet to run until the end of the match. I can think of just 2 occasions in the last year. The clue is in the title of the site. The tips are for TRADING.
The aim of the match picks on here and in the Daily Trading Tips emails is to give you a value entry point. After that you need to manage your position. If you have little tennis trading experience here are some simple ways to manage the trade:
Once the price has reached the target price and you have entered your first trade you are waiting for a significant price move in your favour. This can be a break of serve or your player wins the set. Then you should remove some or all of your liability (risk).
If your player does not perform well and gets broken after you have entered the trade then you can exit with a loss.
Update: Evens had a shoulder injury and wasn’t as competitive as expected. Solid performance from Sonego to win in 2 sets.