Round Robin stage
Djokovic (1.46) v Medvedev (3.1)
Due to start at 8 pm
Djokovic leads their previous matches 4-2.
Their most recent meeting was in January 2020.Djokovic won on a hard court in 3 sets. Their only indoor match was in 2017 when Medvedev retired. Their only match that ended in straight sets went to Djokovic on grass in 2017.
Djokovic has better overall results. Both players have very strong indoor records.
Djokovic was fairly comfortable against Diego Schwartzman 2 days ago despite being broken early in the match. He has a superb record at the year end finals and since they moved to London’s O2 Arena he has won it 4 times (2015, 14, 13, 12) and made the final in 2018 and 2017. Last year he was recovering from shoulder surgery and didn’t make it through the round robin stages.
Medvedev had a straight sets win over Alex Zverev who had a really poor match. Zverev struggled partly due to Medvedev’s strong play but also seemed to have other issues that were distracting him. Perhaps there has been a development in his case of being accused of assault by an ex girlfriend. Whatever his problem was it really affected his confidence. Having broken the Medvedev serve in the opening game of the match Zverev seemed almost scared to hit a second serve and immediately handed the break of serve back. Medvedev has been in strong form recently and won the indoor title at the Paris Masters 2 weeks ago.
Medvedev always seems to give Djokovic problems and he should take a set today. Lay Djokovic around 1.25 and remove some or all of your liability at 1.40. Lay the winner of the first set.
I have had a handful of questions in the last few months asking about the advice that I give on this blog and also on Twitter. The most common question is asking if the tips are intended to be backed and left to run.
The short answer is “NO”. The slightly longer answer is “HELL NO”. The long answer is that I very rarely leave a back bet to run until the end of the match. I can think of just 2 occasions in the last year. The clue is in the title of the site. The tips are for TRADING.
The aim of the match picks on here and in the Daily Trading Tips emails is to give you a value entry point. After that you need to manage your position. If you have little tennis trading experience here are some simple ways to manage the trade:
Once the price has reached the target price and you have entered your first trade you are waiting for a significant price move in your favour. This can be a break of serve or your player wins the set. Then you should remove some or all of your liability (risk).
If your player does not perform well and gets broken after you have entered the trade then you can exit with a loss.