Trading Tip – WTA Madrid Semi Final, Baptiste v Andreeva

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April29th

WTA Madrid
Baptiste v Andreeva 1.48
Due to start at 3 pm

Confidence rating 6.5/10

Andreeva 1-0 (July 2025, grass, 2 sets). Clay win %’s favour Andreeva.

Baptiste reached the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Paolini in the 3rd round as underdog. 3 sets win over Bencic as underdog in the 4th round. 3rd set tie break win over Sabalenka in the q final.
4th Round at the French Open 2025, 3rd Round in Rome 2025.

Andreeva reached the Quarter final last year. 2 sets win over Udvardy in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Galfi in the 3rd round. 3rd set tie break win over Bondar in the 4th round.2 tight sets win over Fernandez in the q final.
Semi finals in Stuttgart 2026, Title in Linz 2026, Quarter finals at the French Open 2025, Quarter finals in Rome 2025.

12 month stats and stats for their last 10 favour Baptiste on serve. 2026 stats also favour her on serve. Stats for the tournament favour Andreeva.
Good chance of 3 sets. Some real value on Baptiste.
Lay Andreeva around 1.30 and remove liability at 1.60.
Lay the set 1 winner.

Match prediction: Baptiste in 3 sets.

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