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Download link – Trading Tips 23rd May

WTA French Open
Baptiste 1.79 v Krejcikova
Due to start at 12:00
Confidence rating 7/10

H2H 1-1. Most recent Oct 2024, hard, Baptiste in 2. Krejcikova won on clay in 2019, 3 sets. Clay win %’s favour Krejcikova.

Baptiste reached the 4th round last year.
3rd round in Rome 2026. Semi finals in Madrid 2026. 2nd round in Rouen 2026.

Krejcikova reached the 2nd round last season.
CH final in May. 2nd round in Rome 2026.

12 month stats and stats for their last 10 favour Baptiste on serve. Chance of 3 sets.
Lay Krejcikova around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match prediction: Baptiste in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: At the start of the match, Baptiste was priced at 1.83.

Krejcikova served first. The first 8 games were holds with no break points.
4-4

Krejcikova faced a break point at 30-40. She recovered to hold.
4-5

The next 3 games were holds with no break points.
6-6

Even the tie break was tight! Baptiste had a set point but didn’t take it. Krejcikova won the tie break 9-7
6-7

Stats for the set were pretty even overall. Baptiste had the lower first serve percentage but had the better second serve points won percentage. You won’t see a much tighter set in WTA.
Krejcikova was priced at 1.46/1.47 after the set.

Baptiste served first in the second set. She had not faced a break point in the first set. I laid Krejcikova at 1.47 with half stake. I would enter the rest of my stake after her service game. Baptiste was broken from 40-0. I laid the rest of my stake at 1.27.
0-1

The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
0-2
1-2

Krejcikova went 0-40 behind. Her price moved to 1.57. I removed half my liability. I removed the rest of the liability at 1.70 when she was broken, leaving the green on Baptiste.
2-2

The next 7 games were holds with no break points!
6-5

Krejcikova faced 2 break points but recovered to hold serve. They went into another tie break.
6-6

I took my Baptiste free bet onto the tie break. Krejcikova had 2 match points but could not take them. Baptiste had 1 set point at 7-6 which she took.
7-6

Stats for the second set arguably favoured Krejcikova overall. Baptiste only faced 1 break point.

Baptiste was priced at 1.48/1.49. I laid Baptiste at 1.49 to move a small amount of green to Krejcikova. Krejcikova was serving first in the 3rd set. She was broken and I hedged at 1.22.
1-0

Baptiste held to 15.
2-0

Krejcikova was broken again after saving 2 break points.
3-0

There were no more breaks although Baptiste faced 2 break points when serving at 4-1.
6-2

Baptiste won 6-7, 7-6, 6-2.