Trading Tip – WTA French Open, Teichmann v Frech

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link: Trading Tips 26th May

WTA French Open
Teichmann v Frech 1.67
Due to start at 4 pm

Confidence rating 7/10

Frech 1-0 (June 2023, grass, 3 sets). Clay win %’s favour Teichmann.

Teichmann reached the 2nd round last season. 2 sets win over Samsonova as underdog in the 1st round.
Semi final in Rabat 2026. Final in Iasi 2025.

Frech reached the 2nd round last year. In the 1st round, Ruse retired in set 2.
2nd round in Strasbourg 2026.

12 month stats and 2026 stats favour Teichmann overall.
Lay Frech around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.80. Chance of 3 sets.

Match prediction: Teichmann in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Teichmann served first and held to 0.
1-0

Frech was taken to deuce 7 times and had to save 2 break points but managed to hold serve.
1-1


The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
2-1
2-2


Teichmann was broken to 30. I laid Frech at 1.39.
2-3

The next 3 games were holds with no break points.
2-4
3-4
3-5

Teichmann went 0-40 behind. As I was favouring her in the pre match assessment and would therefore be laying Frech after she took the set, I laid Frech at 0-40 at 1.16. Teichmann saved the 3 break points and went on to hold serve. Frech’s price reached 1.25.
4-5


Frech served for the set and went 0-40 behind. I removed liability at 1.52, leaving the green in Teichmann. Frech was broken to 15.
5-5


Teichmann held serve to 30. Frech was then broken to 30 to give the set to Teichmann. I hedged at 1.54 on Teichmann’s ladder (2.86 on Frech’s ladder).
6-5
7-5

Stats for the set were fairly even. Teichmann had the stronger second serve points won percentage. Set winners often (not always) have the better 2nd serve points won percentage.

Set 1 stats


Teichmann served first in the second set. I laid her at 1.55. She faced a break point at 40-A. I backed her at 1.73 using the same stake that I had used to lay. This increased my green on Teichmann. She recovered to hold.
1-0

Frech Held to 0
1-1

Teichmann again faced break point at 40-A. Again, she recovered to hold.
2-1

The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
2-2
3-2

Frech went 0-40 behind. I laid Teichmann at 1.22. The lay was risk free due to the existing profit. Frech saved 2 of the break points but was broken to 30.
4-2


Teichmann was broken to 15. I hedged at 1.44.
4-3


Frech was broken to 0. I laid Teichmann at 1.11. She would be serving for the match. I didn’t use much of my profit to cover the lay liability. If Teichmann started the next game well, there would be no chance to exit.
5-3


Teichmann was broken to 30. I hedged at 1.36.
5-4

Frech was broken again to give Teichmann the set.
6-4

Teichmann won 7-5, 6-4.


Let me know if these posts and the updates are useful. Also let me know if you think they are a complete waste of time!

 
Tennis Trading Guide

Trading Tip – WTA French Open, Teichmann v Frech Read More »

WTA French Open, Second Round Predictions

These predictions are aimed at traders rather than punters. When assessing a match, I initially look for 2 things. Who do I think will win and how competitive will the other player be?
Use them for straight bets if you wish but please bear in mind that is not what they are intended for.

**For previous rounds, if predictions were correct, I have left them in blue. Corrections are in black.
The number in brackets is the confidence rating out of 10 from the Trading Tips email.

WTA French Open
WTA French Open
 
Tennis Trading Guide

WTA French Open, Second Round Predictions Read More »

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