These predictions are aimed at traders rather than punters. When assessing a match, I initially look for 2 things. Who do I think will win and how competitive will the other player be? Use them for straight bets if you wish but please bear in mind that is not what they are intended for.
Update: Hunter served first and was broken to 30. As I favoured Masarova to win in 2 sets, I waited to see if Hunter was going to be competitive. Hunter did not force a single break point and was broken again before the end of the set.
After the set, Masarova was priced at 1.15. Often after an easy set, the set winner can switch off a little in the early games of set 2. I let Hunter have her service game at the start of the set. She held to 30. I laid Masarova at 1.19.
The next 6 games were all holds of serve with no break points. Masarova served at 3-4. I was waiting for 4-4 as that would be my exit after laying the set 1 winner. Masarova was broken to 15. I removed the liability at 1.59, leaving the green on Masarova.
In the next game, Hunter served for the set but was broken to 30. In the next game, Masarova saved 2 break points but was eventually broken which gave the set to Hunter.
Hunter’s stats had improved a lot from the first set
I left my free bet to run on Masarova. Hunter served first in set 3 and was broken to 0. The next 3 games were easy holds.
Hunter served at 1-3 and was broken to 15. I hedged at 1.04. The next 3 games were all breaks. Masarova served at 5-2 and held to 30.
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