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WTA Miami
Mboko 1.96 v Muchova
Due to start at 6 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Muchova 1-0 (Feb 2026, hard, 2 sets). 12 month hard win %’s are even. Muchova leads in 2026.

Mboko reached the 2nd round last season. Very easy win in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Zakharova in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Andreeva in the 4th round.
Final in Doha 2026, 4th Round at the Australian Open 2026, Final in Adelaide 2026, Title in Hong Kong 2025, Quarter finals in Tokyo 2025, Title in Montreal 2025.

Muchova reached the 3rd round last year. Tight 3 sets win over Osorio in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Boulter in the 3rd round. Very easy win over Eala in the 4th round.
4th round in Indian Wells 2026, Title in Doha 2026, 4th Round at the Australian Open 2026, Semi finals in Brisbane 2026, Quarter finals in Tokyo 2025, 4th Round in Beijing 2025, Quarter finals at the US Open 2025, 4th Round in Montreal 2025.

12 month stats and stats for their last 10 favour Muchova on serve.
Lay Mboko around 1.55 and remove liability at 2.00. Chance of 3 sets.

Match prediction: Muchova in 3 sets.

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Update: Muchova started the match at 1.84.

In the first 10 games, there was just 1 break point. That was on Muchova’s serve in the second game. She saved it and held. Mboko served at 5-5 and was broken to 30. Muchova served out the set after being taken to deuce twice.

After the set, Muchova was priced at 1.40.

Mboko served first in set 2. She faced and saved a break point. The next 8 games were holds of serve with no break points. In the next game, Muchova faced and saved a break point / set point and held serve. The set went to a tie break.

In the tie break, Muchova took a 4-0 lead. She dropped to 1.06. More out of boredom than anything else, I laid her. Mboko won her next service point and then got one of the mini breaks back to take the score to 2-4. I removed liability at 1.15.

Muchova had a match point on her own serve at 6-4 but Mboko won the point to get the tie break back on serve. I hedged at 1.23. Mboko served at 5-6 and lost her serve and the tie break.

Muchova won 7-5, 7-6.