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WTA Abu Dhabi
Tjen 1.86 v Joint
Due to start at 9:30 am
Confidence rating 7/10

1st meeting. Hard win %’s favour Tjen.

Tjen reached the 2nd round of the Australian Open. Title in Chennai 2025, Final in Sao Paulo 2025.

Joint reached the Quarter finals in Adelaide 2026, Semi finals in Hong Kong 2025, 3rd Round in Beijing 2025, Semi finals in Seoul 2025, 3rd Round in Cincinnati 2025, Quarter finals in Merida 2025.

12 month stats favour Tjen on serve. Stats for their last 10 are stronger for Tjen overall.
Lay Joint around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.00. Chance of 3 sets.

Match prediction: Tjen in 3 sets.

Update: Tjen served first. She held after being taken to deuce. In the next game, Joint faced a break point. I could have laid Tjen at 1.49 but decided to wait for the break. Tjen did break and as I was expecting a tight match, I laid Tjen at 1.39.

In the next game, Tjen faced a break point. I removed a little liability at 1.49 but wanted a better price before I removed any more. She saved the break point but faced another one and this time, Joint got the break. I removed all my liability at 1.61, leaving the green on Tjen.

The next 3 games were holds to 30. Tjen served at 3-3 and was broken to 15. Joint could be laid at 1.65 which was my original target entry price. I already had a position on Tjen but as I would be laying Joint if she took the set, I added a small lay of Joint at 1.65.

The next 2 games were holds. In Tjen’s service game, she faced a break point which was also a set point but she saved it. Joint then served for the set at 5-4. She went 40-0 ahead so I obviously thought the set was over. Tjen saved 4 set points in that game and eventually broke to get to 5-5. I hedged evenly at 1.85 on Tjen’s ladder.

Tjen served at 5-5 and held to 15. In Joint’s next service game, Tjen had 2 break points/set points but Joint recovered to take it into a tie break. Joint had a set point in the tie break but it was Tjen who won the tie break and the set.

Joint served first in set 2. I waited for her to have her service game before laying Tjen. Joint was broken and I laid Tjen at 1.14. I kept it risk free using the profit from set 1.

Tjen was broken in the next game. I could have hedged at 1.27 but as I had a no risk position, I decided to give Joint a chance to take the set.

The next 3 games were holds to 15. Tjen served at 2-3. She was broken to 0. I hedged at 1.74. There were no more breaks in the set and they went into a deciding set.

I wanted to move to another match so did not get involved in the 3rd set. There was just 1 break of serve which went to Tjen.

Tjen won 7-6, 3-6, 6-3.