Get Trading Tips for every main draw ATP and WTA match, 7 days a week https://blog.tradesharktennis.com/tennis-trading-tips/

WTA Indian Wells
Sakkari 1.53 v Tagger
Due to start at 7 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

1st meeting. Hard win %’s favour Tagger.

Sakkari reached the 3rd round last year.
Semi finals in Doha 2026, 3rd Round at the US Open 2025, Quarter finals in Washington 2025.

Tagger had a 2 sets win over Gracheva in the 1st round.
She reached a CH final in Feb. ITF title in Jan. Final in Jiujiang 2025.

12 month stats favour Sakkari on serve. Stats for their last 10 favour her overall.
Recent performances favour Sakkari. Chance of 3 sets.
Back Sakkari around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.

Match prediction: Sakkari in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Sakkari served first. She faced 2 break points but recovered to hold. The next 2 games were easy holds.

In the next game, Tagger served at 1-2. She went 15-40 behind. I laid Sakkari at 1.30. I like to enter at 15-40 or 0-40 as there is a chance that the server will recover. In this case, Tagger DID recover to hold serve. I removed liability at 1.50, leaving the green on Sakkari.

The next 7 games were all holds. The only break points were when Sakkari served at 3-3, She faced 2 break points but recovered. Tagger served at 5-6 and was broken to 15 to hand Sakkari the set. Sakkari was now priced 1.14.

Stats for the set were decent for both

I favoured Sakkari to win but Tagger had kept things close in the first set. I wanted to lay Sakkari if she went a set and a break ahead.

Sakkari served first and held to 30. In the next game, Tagger was broken to 15. I laid Sakkari with some of the profit from set 1 at 1.05.

In the next game, Sakkari went 15-40 behind and I backed Sakkari at 1.11 using the same stake that I had used to lay her. This gave me a slightly better free bet on Sakkari. She recovered to hold. Tagger did not win a game in the second set.

Sakkari won 7-5, 6-0.