ATP Washington, Quarter Final Predictions

These predictions are aimed at traders rather than punters. When assessing a match, I initially look for 2 things. Who do I think will win and how competitive will the other player be?
Use them for straight bets if you wish but please bear in mind that is not what they are intended for.

**For previous rounds, if predictions were correct, I have left them in blue. Corrections are in black.
The number in brackets is the confidence rating out of 10 from the Trading Tips email.

ATP Washington
 
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ATP Washington, Quarter Final Predictions Read More »

Trading Tip – WTA Memphis, Stephens v Vidmanova

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link: Trading Tips – 29th July

WTA Memphis
Stephens v Vidmanova 1.60
Due to start at midnight

Confidence rating 7/10

1st meeting. Hard win %’s favour Vidmanova.

Stephens had a 3 sets win over Starodubtseva as underdog in the 1st round.
She had not won a main draw WTA match on hard since Mach 2024.
She has been struggling with injury.

Vidmanova needed 3 sets in the 1st round as favourite.
She won a CH title in June. CH semi in Oct. 2nd round in Guadalajara 2025.

12 month WTA stats and stats in 2026 favour Vidmanova overall.
Chance of 3 sets.
Back Vidmanova around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Vidmanova in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: As this match was due to start after midnight, I did not trade it. I have rules that I follow when trading matches and I will apply those rules to this match. I can list what I would have done but I will not have access to the Betfair prices.

Vidmanova served first. She saved a break point but held serve.
0-1

Easy hold for Stephens.
1-1

Vidmanova again had to save a break point but she held.
1-2

Stephens saved 3 break points but recovered to hold.
2-2

Easy hold for Vidmanova.
2-3

Stephens was taken to deuce twice but faced a break point and was broken. I would have placed a small lay on Vidmanova.
2-4

Vidmanova went 0-40 behind. I would have removed liability to leave a free bet on Vidmanova.
2-5

Stephens saved a break point. She faced another and was broken to hand the set to Vidmanova.
2-6

Stats for the set all favour Vidmanova.

Set 1 stats

Vidmanova served first in the second set. She had faced 6 break points in the first set. I would have laid her at the start of the second set.

She held to 15.
0-1

Stephens held to 0.
1-1

Vidmanova was taken to deuce but held serve.
1-2

Stephens held to 0.
2-2

Vidmanova was broken to 30. I would have backed Vidmanova using the same stake that I used for the lay. This would have increased my free bet on Vidmanova.
3-2

Stephens was broken straight back.
3-3

The next 3 games were easy holds.
3-4
4-4
4-5

Stephens was broken to 15.
4-6

Vidmanova won 6-2, 6-4.

 
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