These predictions are aimed at traders rather than punters. When assessing a match, I initially look for 2 things. Who do I think will win and how competitive will the other player be? Use them for straight bets if you wish but please bear in mind that is not what they are intended for.
**For previous rounds, if predictions were correct, I have left them in blue. Corrections are in black. The number in brackets is the confidence rating out of 10 from the Trading Tips email.
These tips are taken from the Tennis Trading Tips email. Get information, stats and tips on every main tour match 7 days a week. Every day, I research all the ATP and WTA matches and write trading notes for my own use. I refer to these notes during the trading session and will not trade a match until I have used the notes to remind me of my trading plan for that match. I will email you my notes 7 days a week.
Update: Mensik started the match priced at 1.59 (down from 1.68)
Mensik served first and held to 0 0-1
Khachanov held to 30. 1-1
Mensik held to 15. 1-2
Khachanov was taken to deuce twice and saved a break point and held. 2-2.
The next 5 games were holds with no break points. 2-3 3-3 3-4 4-4 4-5
Khachanov saved a break point / set point. He faced another break point and was broken to give the set to Mensik. 4-6
Stats for the set favoured Mensik. He did not face a break point. Decent first serve percentage. Khachanov faced 3 break points. His first serve percentage was lowish at 58% and his second serve points won were also low at 33%.
I laid Mensik at 1.19 after the first set. He served first in set 2.
The first 5 games were holds with no break points. 0-1 1-1 1-2 2-2 2-3
Khachanov faced a break point but saved it and held serve. 3-3
The next 2 games were holds. 3-4 4-4
When I have laid the set 1 winner and the score gets to 4-4, I exit. The market can get quite volatile after that. I hedged at 1.21.
It was also quite a relief! From a trading point of view, this was a boring match. It’s an hour and 20 minutes that I won’t get back. What will I spend my 2 ticks profit on?
The next 4 games were holds with no break points. 4-5 5-5 5-6 6-6
In the tie break, Khachanov did have 4 set points. Mensik had 2 math points that he did not take. he had a third match point at 11-12 and this time he took it. 6-7
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