These predictions are aimed at traders rather than punters. When assessing a match, I initially look for 2 things. Who do I think will win and how competitive will the other player be? Use them for straight bets if you wish but please bear in mind that is not what they are intended for.
**For previous rounds, if predictions were correct, I have left them in blue. Corrections are in black. The number in brackets is the confidence rating out of 10 from the Trading Tips email.
This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service. Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match. Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.
Mboko had a 2 sets win over Boisson in the 2nd round. She reached the 3rd round of the French Open 2025. She had played just 1 clay match in 2026.
Fernandez lost in the 1st round last season. 2 sets win over Jeanjean in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Frech in the 2nd round. Quarter finals in Madrid 2026, Quarter finals in Stuttgart 2026.
12 month stats favour Mboko overall. Stats for their last 10 favour Fernandez on serve. Chance of 3 sets. Fernandez hit 9 d faults in the previous round. Back Mboko around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
Fernandez went 15-40 behind. I could have laid Mboko at 1.48 but I wanted a better price. She was broken and I laid Mboko at 1.40. 2-1
Mboko held to 0. 3-1
Fernandez was broken again to 15. I added to my lay at 1.19. 4-1
Mboko held to 15. Fernandez held to 30. 5-1 5-2
Mboko faced a break point at 40-A. The price only moved at 1.22. I waited. Mboko saved the break point but faced another and was broken. I removed some liability at 1.27. 5-3
Fernandez had to save 2 break points but held serve. I hedged at 1.32 for a small profit. 5-4
Mboko served out the set to 15. 6-4
Stats for the set were stronger for Mboko although her first serve percentage was just 45%.
Fernandez served first in the second set and was broken after saving 1 break point. She was not looking good. I did not lay Mboko and waited to see if Fernandez could improve. 1-0
Mboko held to 15. 2-0
Fernandez was then broken again, this time to 0. Mboko was now priced at 1.03. Pre match, I had thought it could be tight. I laid. 3-0
Mboko was broken to 0. Her price moved to 1.06. I waited. 3-1
Fernandez had to saved 3 break points but she eventually held. I hedged at 1.09. 3-2
The next 4 games were holds with no break points. 4-2 4-3 5-3 5-4
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