ATP Metz, Semi Final Predictions

These predictions are aimed at traders rather than punters. When assessing a match, I initially look for 2 things. Who do I think will win and how competitive will the other player be?
Use them for straight bets if you wish but please bear in mind that is not what they are intended for.

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ATP Metz
 
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Trading Tip – ATP Metz, Tabur v Sachko

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ATP Metz
Tabur 1.87 v Sachko
Due to start at 6:30 pm

Confidence rating 7/10

Tabur 1-0 (Nov 2025, indoors, 3 sets). Indoor win %’s are better for Tabur.

Tabur has come through the qual rounds. Easy win over Kovacevic in the 1st round as underdog. 3 tie breaks win as underdog in the 2nd round. CH q final in Oct. He plays few indoor tournaments.

Sachko lost in the qual rounds. 2 sets win over Perricard as lucky loser in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Bublik as huge underdog in the 2nd round. CH q final in Jan.

2025 indoor stats are stronger for Tabur.
Lay Sachko around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match prediction: Tabur in 3 sets

Update: Tabur was broken in the first game of the match. I laid Sachko at 1.53. The next 5 games were comfortable holds of serve. Sachko was only taken to 30 once. I exited the trade at 1.47 and waited for the second set. There was only 1 point against serve for the remaining games in the set.

I laid Sachko at 1.38 at the start of the second set. Tabur started with an easy hold. In the next game, Sachko was broken to 15. I removed liability at 1.94.

In the next game Tabur saved 3 break points but held to lead 3-0. Sachko faced 2 break points when he served at 4-2 but he recovered. There were no more breaks in the set. I hedged evenly at 2.30 on Sachko’s ladder.

No more entries in the match. In the third set, Sachko faced 4 break points in the first game but recovered to hold. He faced a break point in his 2nd and 3rd service games. There were no breaks until Tabur served at 4-5. He was broken to 30.

Sachko won 6-4, 3-6, 6-4.

These tips are taken from the Tennis Trading Tips email. Get information, stats and tips on every main tour match 7 days a week. Every day, I research all the ATP and WTA matches and write trading notes for my own use. I refer to these notes during the trading session and will not trade a match until I have used the notes to remind me of my trading plan for that match.
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