Trading Tip – WTA Doha, Bouzkova v Mboko

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WTA Doha
Bouzkova v Mboko 1.52
Due to start at 3 pm

Confidence rating 7.5/10

Mboko 1-0 (July 2025, hard, 3 sets). Hard win %’s favour Mboko.

Bouzkova reached the 2nd round of the Aus Open. 4th Round in Beijing 2025, Semi finals in Monterrey 2025, 3rd Round in Montreal 2025, Title in Prague 2025.

Mboko reached the 4th Round at the Australian Open 2026, Final in Adelaide 2026, Title in Hong Kong 2025, Quarter finals in Tokyo 2025, Title in Montreal 2025.

12 month stats and stats for their last 10 favour Mboko on serve.
Back Mboko around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.60.

Update: Bouzkova served first and held to 15. In the next game, Mboko was broken to 30. I backed Mboko at 2.04.

In the next game, Bouzkova went 15-40 behind. I removed some liability at 1.75. Bouzkova saved one of the break points but was broken on the second one. Mboko’s price dropped to 1.69.

The next 3 games were holds of serve. Bouzkova served at 3-3. She faced a break point. I removed the remaining liability at 1.41.

In the next game, Mboko served with a 4-3 lead. She went 15-40 behind. She saved one of the break points but was broken. Bouzkova followed that up with a hold to 15. Mboko matched that to get to 5-5.

In the next game, Bouzkova went 0-40 behind. She saved the first break point but was broken. Mboko served for the set and held to 30. I hedged at 1.16.

Stats in the first set favoured Mboko but she had given away a break lead late in the set.

Bouzkova served first in set 2. Her serve hadn’t been great up to this point. I waited for her to have her service game before I laid Mboko. She faced a break point but held serve. I laid Mboko at 1.21. I had no liability due to having some profit from the first set.

Mboko was broken to 30. I hedged at 1.38. After that, Bouzkova’s serve was poor and she would not win another game.

Mboko won 7-5, 6-2.

 
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