Trading Tip – WTA Dubai, Sonmez v Bejlek

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WTA Dubai
Sonmez v Bejlek 1.56
Due to start at 4:30 pm

Confidence rating 7.5/10

Sonmez 1-0 (Sep 2021, clay, 2 sets). Hard win %’s favour Bejlek.

Sonmez reached the 3rd Round at the Australian Open 2026, 3rd Round in Beijing 2025, Quarter finals in Merida 2025.

Bejlek reached the Title in Abu Dhabi 2026, Quarter finals in Prague 2025.

12 month stats and stats for their last 10 favour Bejlek.
Back Bejlek around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Bejlek in 2 sets.

Update: Bejlek served first and held to 15. In the next game, Sonmez was broken. As I expected Bejlek to win in 2 sets, I did not enter.

In the next game, Bejlek held to 0. In the next game, Sonmez saved 2 break points but was broken on the third break point. Bejlek was now a double break ahead. The price would not drop much lower in the set so I laid her at 1.13.

In the next game, Bejlek was broken to 30. Her price only moved to 1.18. Sonmez then held to 30. Bejlek’s price went to 1.23. I backed her at 1.23 with the same stake that I used to lay her. This left me a small free bet on Bejlek.

Bejlek held to 30 to take a 5-2 lead. She broke Sonmez to 0 in the next game to take the set.

Sonmez’ stats in the first set were pretty dismal. Her first serve percentage was 38%. She won 50% of her first serve points and 31% of her second serve points. Sonmez had a first serve percentage of 81%. She won 59% of her first serve points and 100% of her second serve points.

I did not see any reason to lay Bejlek in set 2. She served first and went 0-40 behind! She recovered to hold. Sonmez then held after saving a break point. Another hold for Bejlek gave her a 2-1 lead.

Sonmez was then broken to 30. Bejlek had not started the second set well on serve so I used my small free bet to lay her at 1.06. In the next game, Bejlek saved 2 break points but was eventually broken. I backed her using the same stake that I used to lay her to increase the free bet on Bejlek. I left the free bet to run.

In the next 3 games, Sonmez was broken twice and Bejlek had a hold of serve.

Bejlek won 6-2, 6-2. Small profit.

 
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