WTA Guadalajara
Osorio v Rakhimova 1.96
Due to start at 1 am
Confidence rating 7/10

Osorio 4-0. Most recent May 2025, clay, 3 sets. She won on hard in Sep 2024 (this tournament), 2 sets. Hard win %’s are fairly even.

Osorio reached the semis last year. 5 WTA 2nd rounds in 2025 including the Aus Open.

Rakhimova reached the q finals last season. 2nd round of the US Open. 2nd round in Montreal. Quarter finals in Jiujiang 2024. Most of her WTA wins in the last year were in qual rounds.

12 month WTA stats are better for Rakhimova on serve. 2025 stats are stronger for Osorio. Fair chance of 3 sets.
Lay Rakhimova around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.00.

Update: Osorio was broken in the first game. I laid Rakhimova. Osorio immediately broke back and I removed my liability to leave profit on Osorio.
Osorio was broken again in the next game and I laid Rakhimova again. Osorio immediately broke back and I again removed liability leaving green on Osorio.
A late break for Osorio gave her the set.

In set 2, Osorio broke for a 2-0 lead and I hedged. I laid Osorio. Laying a player who is a set and a break ahead can be an excellent entry. Osorio was broken in the next game and I hedged evenly. I was not involved in the match any further.
They exchanged breaks in the next 2 games. Rakhimova then went a break ahead and served for the set. She was broken. Osorio won the next 2 games to take the match.

Osorio won 7-5, 7-5.

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