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Download link: Trading Tips 27th July

WTA Washington
Eala v Zheng 1.75
Due to start at 6 pm
Confidence rating 6.5/10

1st meeting. Hard win %’s favour Eala.

Eala reached the 4th Round in Miami 2026, 4th Round in Indian Wells 2026, Quarter finals in Dubai 2026, Quarter finals in Abu Dhabi 2026, Semi finals in Auckland 2026, Quarter finals in Sao Paulo 2025.

Zheng reached the Quarter final in Athens 2026. Quarter finals in Athens 2026, 4th Round in Miami 2026, 3rd Round in Doha 2026.

12 month hard stats favour Zheng on serve. 2026 stats also favour her. Recent form on all surfaces favours Eala.
Lay Zheng around 1.45 and remove liability at 1.95.

Match prediction: Eala in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: When the match started, Zheng was priced at 1.83

Eala served first. She was taken to deuce but held.
1-0

Zheng was broken to 15. I expected the match to be tight with 3 sets. I laid Eala at 1.62.
2-0

Eala went 40-0 ahead but was broken! I removed liability by backing Eala at 1.98, leaving the green on her.
2-1

The next 3 games were all holds with no break points although Zheng was taken to deuce twice in both her service games.
2-2
3-2
3-3

Eala went 0-40 behind. She saved 2 of the break points but was broken. I stuck with the free bet on Eala. If she lost the first set, I planned on laying Zheng anyway.
3-4

Zheng was taken to deuce twice in her next service game but the remaining 3 games of the set were all holds.
3-5
4-5
4-6

Stats for the set were average for Eala. Zheng won 88% of points on her first serve but had a low first serve percentage of 45%. She was only winning 33% of points on second serve.

At the end of the set, Zheng was priced at 1.37/1.38.

So, I went into set 2 with a free bet on Eala.

Eala served first in the second set. The first 2 games were holds.
1-0
1-1

Eala went 0-40 behind. I laid Zheng at 1.24. Eala recovered to hold. I could have removed the small liability but chose to wait for a better price if Eala got her nose in front.
2-1

Zheng went 15-40 behind. I backed Zheng at 1.65 to remove the liability and increase my free bet on Eala. Zheng also recovered to hold.
2-2

The next 2 games were holds.
3-2
3-3

Eala was broken to 0. Maybe Zheng was going to get a straight sets win. I try to stay with my pre match assessment for as long as I can. Zheng had only managed one easy hold in the set. I laid Zheng at 1.12.
3-4

Zheng was broken to 0! I removed liability at 1.40 on Zheng’s ladder, this time leaving some green on Zheng and the larger green on Eala. I was pushing my luck now. At 4-4, Eala could not afford to be broken. I didn’t want to come out of the match with zero.
4-4

Eala held to 30. The pressure shifted to Zheng!
5-4

Zheng was broken to 30 to give the set to Eala.
6-4

Zheng was priced at 2.06/2.08. I placed a small back on Zheng at 2.06 to move some more of the profit onto her. I still had a larger profit on Eala.

In that set, both players were struggling to find first serves. Eala was doing much better when she did manage to land a first serve.

Eala served first in the third set. She held to 15.
1-0

Zheng was broken to 15. I was tempted to lay her but I was already green with the larger profit on my favoured player.
2-0

Eala held to 30 and then broke Zheng again.
3-0
4-0

The next 2 games were both breaks and then Eala served out the match to 30.
4-1
5-1
6-1

Sonmez won 4-6, 6-4, 6-1.