WTA US Open
Jovic 1.91 v Eala
Due to start at midnight
Confidence rating 6.5/10

Jovic 2-0. Most recent June 2026, grass, 2 sets. She won on clay in May 2026, 2 sets. Hard win %’s are even.

Jovic reached the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Frech in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Jones in the 2nd round.
She reached the 3rd Round in Dubai 2026, Quarter finals at the Australian Open 2026, Final in Hobart 2026, Semi finals in Auckland 2026, Title in Guadalajara 2025.

Eala reached the 2nd round last season. Easy win in the 1st round. 2 sets win in the 2nd round.
She reached the 4th Round in Toronto 2026, Title in Washington 2026, 4th Round in Miami 2026, 4th Round in Indian Wells 2026, Quarter finals in Dubai 2026, Quarter finals in Abu Dhabi 2026, Semi finals in Auckland 2026, Quarter finals in Sao Paulo 2025.

12 month and 2026 stats favour Jovic overall.
Stats for their last 10 favour Eala overall.
Lay Jovic around 1.55 and remove liability at 1.95. 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Jovic started the match priced at 1.84.

Eala served first. The first 2 games were holds.
0-1
1-1

Eala was broken to 30. I laid Jovic at 1.49.
2-1

Jovic went 0-40 behind. I removed half my liability at 1.77. Jovic recovered to hold serve.
3-1

Eala was broken again. I added to my position with a lay of Jovic at 1.26.
4-1

Jovic was broken to 15. I decided to give Eala the chance to hold.
4-2

Eala held to 15. I removed half my liability at 1.48.
4-3

Jovic was broken after saving 2 break points. I hedged evenly at 1.94.
4-4

Eala was broken! I wanted to lay Jovic again but the price of 1.47 made it less tempting. I stayed out.
5-4

Of course, Jovic was broken!
5-5

Eala was broken for the fourth time in the set. This time, I was not tempted to lay. If a player is broken serving for the set and then earns the chance to serve for it again, they frequently make a much better job of it.
6-5

Jovic served out the set to 0.
7-5

Stats for the set were better for Jovic but her own stats weren’t great. She had a first serve percentage of 51%. Eala had a first serve percentage of 47% and she won 29% of her second serve points.

After the set, Jovic was priced at 1.29 to 1.30.

Eala served first in the second set. I waited for her to have her service game. She saved 2 break points but did hold serve. I laid Jovic at 1.44.
0-1

The next 2 games were holds.
1-1
1-2

Jovic saved a break point but faced another and was broken. I hedged at 1.67.
1-3

Eala went 0-40 behind. She saved 2 of the break points but the third was taken. I laid Jovic at 1.44.
2-3

Jovic was broken to 30. I hedged at 1.71.
2-4

Eala was broken to 15! This was turning into a real serving masterclass! I laid Jovic at 1.45. Was I being greedy?
3-4

Jovic went 15-40 behind. I felt that I was pushing my luck so hedged at 1.69. Jovic saved 2 break points but then faced another and was broken.
3-5

Eala served out the set to 30.
3-6

That set was a bit of a mess. Eala actually improved her stats from the first set. Her first serve percentage rose to a respectable 66%. Jovic’s numbers dropped for first serve points won and second serve points won.

After the set, Jovic was priced at 2.02/2.04.

Jovic served first in the deciding set. In WTA third sets, I am looking to lay the first player to break, as long as the price is decent.

Jovic was broken to 15. I laid Eala at 1.38.
0-1

The next 2 games were holds.
0-2
1-2

Eala saved 2 break points but faced another and was broken. I hedged at 2.10 On Eala’s ladder.
2-2

I was happy with the profit at that stage so I left the match alone.

Jovic was broken again
2-3

The next 2 games were holds although Jovic had to save 2 break points.
2-4
3-4

Eala was broken to 30.
4-4

The nest 3 games were holds.
5-4
5-5
6-5

Eala was broken to hand the set and the match to Jovic.
7-5


Jovic won 7-5, 3-6, 7-5.

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

ATP US Open
Michelsen 1.67 v Merida Aguilar
Due to start at 8:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

H2H 1-1. Most recent Aug 2026, hard, Aguilar in 3. Michelsen won on hard in March 2026, 2 sets. Hard win %’s slightly favour Aguilar.

Michelsen lost in the 1st round last year. Easy win over Cina in the 1st round. Straight sets win over Nakashima as underdog in the 2nd round.
He reached the 3rd Round in Montreal 2026, Quarter finals in Washington 2026, 4th Round in Miami 2026, 4th Round in Indian Wells 2026, Semi finals in Brisbane 2026.

Aguilar lost in the qual rounds last year. 3 sets win over Fucsovics in the 1st round. 4 sets win over Rublev in the 2nd round as underdog.
He reached the 3rd Round in Cincinnati 2026, Quarter finals in Montreal 2026.

12 month and 2026 stats favour Michelsen on serve and strongly favour Nakashima on return.
4 sets.
Back Michelsen around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.75. Lay set 1 winner.

Match prediction: Michelsen in 4 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Michelsen served first. The first 6 games were holds of serve with just 1 break point. That was against Michelsen in the 4th game.
3-3

Michelsen was broken to 15. I backed Michelsen at 2.28.
3-4

Aguilar was broken to 30. I removed liability at 1.78, Leaving the profit on Michelsen.
4-4

The next 4 games were holds and they went into a tie break.
6-6

Michelsen took a close tie break 7 points to 5.
7-6

Stats for the set were fairly even and better for Aguilar on second serve points won.
After the set, Michelsen was priced at 1.38/1.39.

Aguilar served first in the second set. I placed a small lay on Michelsen at 1.38. The first 6 games were holds.
3-3

Aguilar faced a break point at 30-40. He saved the break point but faced another and was broken. I only had a small liability so stayed in the lay.
4-3

Michelsen went 15-40 behind. I hedged at 1.26. That had taken away some of my profit from the first set.
Michelsen saved the break points and held.
5-3

The next 2 games were holds and Michelsen took the set.
5-4
6-4

Stats for the set had improved for Michelsen. Aguilar’s first serve percentage had dropped to just 47%.

After the set, Michelsen was priced at 1.09/1.10

In a best of 5 sets match, laying the player who is 2-0 up in sets can be a great entry. On this occasion, I was ready for some sleep so I left with my small profit.

Aguilar served first and was broken. There were no break points in the next 7 games Then, Aguilar was broken again to give the set and the match to Michelsen.

Michelsen won 7-6, 6-4, 6-3.