WTA Beijing
Jacquemot v Frech 1.45
Due to start at 12:00 noon
Confidence rating 7.5/10

Frech 3-1. Most recent Jan 2026, hard, Frech in 2. She won on clay in 2023, 2 sets. Jacquemot won on hard in 2022, 2 sets. Frech won on clay in 2020, 2 sets. Hard win %’s favour Frech.

Jacquemot lost in the 1st round as lucky loser last year. This year, she has come through the qual rounds.
She reached a CH semi in Sep. 2nd rounds in Miami 2026 and the Australian Open 2026.

Frech lost in the 1st round last season.
She reached the Quarter finals in Guadalajara 2026, 3rd Round in Cincinnati 2026, Final in Merida 2026, 3rd Round in Wuhan 2025.

12 month and 2026 stats favour Frech overall.
Back Frech around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.

Match prediction: Frech in 2 sets.

Update: Jacquemot served first. She saved 4 break point but held serve.
1-0

The next 3 games were holds.
1-1
2-1
2-2

Jacquemot saved a break point. She faced another and was broken. I laid Frech at 1.25.
2-3

The next 2 games were holds.
2-4
3-4

Frech was broken to 0. I removed liability, leaving the green on Frech.
4-4

Jacquemot was broken to 30.
4-5

Frech served for the set and was broken to 30.
5-5

Jacquemot was broken again to 30. Frech served for the set again. This time, she saved a break point and recovered to hold.
5-6
5-7

Stats for the set were better for Frech although she wasn’t great on second serve.

After the set, Frech was priced at 1.15/1.16.

With 5 breaks in the first set, there was no guarantee of this ending in 2 sets.

Jacquemot served first. I stayed with the free bet on Frech in case she broke in the first game. Jacquemot held to 30.
1-0

I placed a lay on Frech. it was risk free due to the green on her from the first set. She held to 15.
1-1

Jacquemot held to 15.
2-1

Frech saved 2 break points. She faced another and was broken. I hedged evenly at 1.36.
3-1

There was just 1 more break point in the set and zero breaks.
Jacquemot took the set.
6-3

After the set, Frech was priced at 1.61/1.62

Stats for the second set were excellent for Jacquemot. Frech’s stats were also decent.

I stayed out of the third set. In third sets, I look to lay the player who gets the first break. That tactic would have worked in this match although the break back was not until Frech served for the set at 5-3 She then broken straight back to take the set and the match.

Frech won 7-5, 3-6, 6-4.