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Download link: Trading Tips 30th May

WTA French Open
Svitolina 1.59 v Bencic
Due to start at 11:30 am
Confidence rating 7.5/10

Svitolina 4-2. Most recent Feb 2026, hard, Svitolina in 3. She won on hard in March 2025, 2 sets. She won indoors in 2019, Bencic retired in set 3. Svitolina won on hard in 2019, 2 sets. Bencic won on hard in Feb 2019, 3rd set tie break. 3 sets win on clay in 2014, 3 sets. Clay win %’s slightly favour Svitolina.

Svitolina reached the Quarter final last year. She needed a 3rd set tie break against Bondar in the/e 1st round. 2 sets win in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Korpatsch in the 3rd round.
Title in Rome 2026, Semi finals in Stuttgart 2026.

Bencic had an easy win over Kraus in the 1st round. 2 sets win over McNally in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Stearns in the 3rd round.
She reached the 3rd round in Rome 2026, 4th Round in Madrid 2026, Quarter finals in Charleston 2026.

12 month stats are fairly close but favour Svitolina. 2026 stats favour Svitolina overall.
Fair chance of 3 sets.
Back Svitolina around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Svitolina in 3 sets.

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Update: Svitolina’s price dropped from 1.59 to 1.55 before the match.

Svitolina served first. The first 4 games were holds with no break points.
2-2

Svitolina went 15-40 behind. Her price was 1.61. She was broken to 30. Her price reached 1.68. Often, if my favoured player gets broken but their price doesn’t quite reach my target price, I will still back them but use a reduced stake. In this case, we were miles away from my minimum entry price of 2.10. I waited for a better price.
2-3

Bencic held to 0. Svitolina’s price hit 1.95. I p[laced a small back on her.
2-4

Svitolina faced a break point at 30-40. Her price reached 2.08. Still not quite at my minimum target price. As I already had a small back on her, I waited for the break. She was broken to 30. I added to my back of Svitolina at 2.40.
2-5

Bencic was broken to 0. I removed liability at 2.00. I left the green on Svitolina.
3-5

Svitolina then held to 30.
4-5

Bencic served for the set. She faced a break point at 30-40. I hedged evenly at 1.63 on Svitolina. Bencic saved the break point and would save another before holding to take the set.
4-6

After the first set, Bencic was priced 1.84/1.85.

Stats for the set favour Bencic overall. Good first serve %, 64% of first serve points won. She hit the tour average for second serve points won percentage. Svitolina’s stats weren’t terrible though her 36% for points won on second serve would need to improve.

Svitolina served first in the second set. I placed a back on her at 2.18. She held to 30.
1-0

Bencic held to 15. Svitolina faced a break point at 40-A. I added to my position by laying Bencic at 1.59. Svitolina saved the break point and held serve.
1-1
2-1

Bencic was broken to 15. I hedged at 1.67 on Svitolina.
3-1

Svitolina held to 15. Bencic saved 4 break points but recovered to hold.
4-1
4-2

The next 2 games were holds. Svitolina was broken to 15 when serving for the set. Bencic was then broken straight back to to give the set to Svitolina.
5-2
5-3
5-4
6-4

Stats for the set improved overall for Svitolina. Her first serve percentage went up to 75% from 59%. Her points won on first serve percentage dropped from 75% to 58% but she improved her second serve points won percentage from 36% to 63%.
Bencic’s numbers dropped slightly on the 3 main stats.

Svitolina was priced at 1.47/1.48 after the second set.

Svitolina served first in the third set. I intended to wait for Bencic to go a break ahead in the set so I could lay her.

Svitolina went 15-40 behind. She was priced at 1.82. Even if I was looking to back her, the price was awful. She recovered to hold.
1-0

Bencic was broken to 30. I decided to take the profit and run.
2-0

Bencic had an awful third set and didn’t win a game.
6-0

Svitolina won 4-6, 6-4, 6-0.