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WTA Cincinnati
Rakhimova v Sakkari 1.56
Due to start at 8:30 pm
Confidence rating 7.5/10

Sakkari 3-0. Most recent July 2026, grass, 3rd set tie break. She won on hard in 2025, 3 sets. She won on clay in 2020, 2 sets. Hard win %’s favour Sakkari.

Rakhimova lost in the 1st round as qualifier last year. Easy win over Birrell in the 1st round.
3rd round in Toronto. 2nd round in Madrid 2026. 2nd round in Indian Wells 2026.

Sakkari reached the 2nd round last season.
Final in Athens 2026, Semi finals in Doha 2026, 3rd Round at the US Open 2025.

12 month and 2026 stats favour Sakkari overall.
Back Sakkari around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Sakkari in 2 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Sakkari served first. She held to 30.
0-1

Rakhimova saved 2 break point but faced another and was broken. I laid Sakkari at 1.31.
0-2

Sakkari went 40-15 ahead. She faced a break point which was saved. She faced another and was broken. I removed liability at 1.50, leaving the green on Sakkari.
1-2

The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
2-2
2-3

Rakhimova saved a break point but faced another and was broken.
2-4

Sakkari held to 15. Rakhimova went 40-15 ahead but was broken to hand Sakkari the set.
2-5
2-6

Stats for the set were better for Sakkari overall although she had a low first serve percentage.
After the set, Sakkari was priced at 1.15/1.16.

Sakkari served first in the second set. As Rakhimova was broken 3 times in the first set and because I expected a straight sets win for Sakkari, I was not keen to lay her.
The first 2 games were holds.
0-1
1-1

Sakkari was broken to 15. Rakhimova then held after being taken to deuce. Sakkari was then broken to 30. I placed a back on Sakkari at 1.65.
2-1
3-1
4-1

Rakhimova was broken to 30. Sakkari held to 30. Rakhimova was broken to 30. I hedged at 1.19 on Sakkari’s ladder.
4-2
4-3
4-4

Sakkari held after saving 2 break points. Rakhimova held to 30.
4-5
5-5

Sakkari saved 4 break points. She faced a 5th break point and was broken.
6-5

Rakhimova served for the set. She saved 2 break points but recovered to hold.
7-5

Stats for the set were pretty even.
After the set, Sakkari was priced at 1.68/1.69.

Sakkari served first in the deciding set. I was wanting to back her if she went a break behind.

Sakkari held to 30.
Rakhimova was broken to 30.
Sakkari held to 30.
0-1
0-2
0-3

Rakhimova was broken again after saving 3 break points.
0-4

I closed the market down.
Rakhimova broke in the next game but was then broken again herself.
1-4
1-5

Sakkari served out the set and the match to 0.
1-6.

Sakkari won 6-2, 5-7, 6-1.