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WTA Merida
Bucsa 1.79 v Frech
Due to start at 11 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Frech 2-1. Most recent Aug 2021, hard, Frech in 2. Bucsa won on clay in 2020, 3 sets. Frech won indoors in 2017, 2 sets. 12 month hard win %’s are even. Frech leads in 2026.

Bucsa had a 2 sets win over Vekic in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Stakusic in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Sonmez in the q final. 2 sets win over Paolini as huge underdog in the semis.
She reached the Final in Hong Kong 2025, 4th Round at the US Open 2025.

Frech lost in the 1st round last year. 2 sets win over Timofeeva in the 1st round. Easy win over Maneiro in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Bouzkova as underdog in the q final. 3 sets win over Zhang in the semi final.
3rd Round in Wuhan 2025, 3rd Round at the US Open 2025, Quarter finals in Washington 2025.

12 month stats and stats for their last 10 favour Frech on serve. Good chance of 3 sets. Stats for the tournament favour Bucsa on serve. Return stats are close.
Lay Frech around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match prediction: Bucsa in 3 sets.

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