ATP Miami, Third Round Predictions

These predictions are aimed at traders rather than punters. When assessing a match, I initially look for 2 things. Who do I think will win and how competitive will the other player be?
Use them for straight bets if you wish but please bear in mind that is not what they are intended for.

**For previous rounds, if predictions were correct, I have left them in blue. Corrections are in black.

ATP Miami, Third Round Predictions 1
 
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Trading Tip – WTA Miami, Shnaider v Bencic

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WTA Miami
Shnaider v Bencic 1.48
Due to start at 6 pm
Confidence rating 7.5/10

Bencic 1-0 (March 2025, hard, 2 sets). Hard win %’s favour Bencic.

Shnaider lost in the 2nd round last year. 2 tie break win over Valentova in the 2nd round.
3rd Round at the Australian Open 2026, Semi finals in Adelaide 2026, Semi finals in Ningbo 2025, Title in Monterrey 2025.

Bencic reached the 2nd round last season. 2 sets win over Haddad Maia in the 1st round. Easy win over Sonmez in the 2nd round.
3rd Round in Dubai 2026, Quarter finals in Hong Kong 2025, Title in Tokyo 2025, Quarter finals in Ningbo 2025, 3rd Round in Wuhan 2025, 4th Round in Beijing 2025.

12 month stats and stats for their last 10 favour Bencic.
Back Bencic around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.60.

Match prediction: Bencic in 2 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Bencic’s price started at 1.42. Shnaider served first and was broken to 30. I laid Bencic at 1.27.

The next 4 games were holds with no break points. Bencic served at 3-2. She went 15-40 behind. I backed her at 1.34. (Hardly worth the bother!). This left me a small free bet on Bencic. Bencic recovered to hold serve. The next 2 games were holds and Shnaider was broken again which gave the set to Bencic.
Shnaider won just 2 of her 11 second serve points in that set. I did not get involved in the second set.

in the second set, the first 7 games were holds. Shnaider served at 3-4 and was broken. Bencic served out the set and the match to 0.

Bencic won 6-3, 6-3.

 
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