Free Tennis Tips, 17th August 2021

WTA Cincinnati, First round

Muchova v Konta

Due to start at 4pm

1st meeting. Long term win % favour Muchova. She has stronger hard court results in the last year and in 2021.

Konta won 4 of her last 10 on hard. She reached the 3rd round last week. Her opponent retired in the 1st round and Konta beat Svitolina in 3 sets in the 2nd round. She then withdrew from the 3rd round.

Muchova made the semis at the Aus Open. Last week she lost to Dodin in 3 sets. She has shown decent form this season and reached the 3rd round at the French Open plus the q finals at Wimbledon. She made the semis at the Australian Open in Feb.

I am going with Muchova. Back her above 2.10 and remove some or all liability at 1.65.

Update: Konta made the better start and won the only break of the set. When she served for the set Muchova had 2 break points but couldn’t convert them. In the second set, there were no breaks of serve. Each player only faced break points in 1 service game. The set was settled in a tie break that went to Muchova. She easily won set 3.

Muchova won 3-6, 7-6, 6-2.

WTA Cincinnati, First round

McNally v Yastremska

Due to start at 10 pm

1st meeting. Long term hard win % are a little better for Yastremska. McNally has better hard results this season.

Yastremska was suspended in Jan as she was found to have a banned substance in her system. So, her season started in July. She took Stephens to 3 sets last week. If she continues to improve, and also her match fitness will get better with more matches then her results will get stronger.

McNally reached the q finals in Guadalajara in March but most of her other wins were in ITF’s or qual rounds.

Back Yastremska around 2.00 and remove liab at 1.55.

Update: McNally took the first break of serve and led 4-2. This was enough to give us our entry price. Yastremska broke back 3 games later for 4-4. She was immediately broken again. She broke straight back herself. The set went to a tie break that Yastremska won.

In set 2, McNally again took the first break of serve but was broken back. They ended up in another tie break which, again, Yastremska won.

Yastremska won 7-6, 7-6.

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