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Trading Tip – WTA Beijing, Volynets v Stearns

WTA Beijing
Volynets 1.70 v Stearns
Due to start at 8:30 am

Volynets 2-0. Most recent March 2023, hard, 2 sets. She won on hard in 2018, 2 sets. Hard win %’s favour Volynets.

Volynets reached the 3rd round last year. Quarter finals in Auckland 2025.

Stearns reached the 3rd round last season. 3rd Round in Dubai 2025.

12 month and 2025 stats are a little better for Stearns on serve. Recent performances are better for Volynets. Chance of 3 sets.
Back Volynets around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Update: Volynets was broken in her second service game to go 1-3 behind. I backed her. 3 games later, Stearns went 15-40 behind on her serve. I removed some of my liability. She saved one of the break points but was broken.
Volynets held serve in the next game after saving a break point. They were at 4-4. In the next game, Stearns was broken. Volynets successfully served for the set at 5-4. I hedged evenly.

Stearns served first in the second set. I often wait until the set loser has their service game before laying the set winner but as I had some green to play with, I laid Volynets at the start of the set.
Stearns held easily and then broke Volynets in the next game. I held my position as it was risk free. Volynets immediately broke back. She was broken again in the next game to trail 1-3. An easy hold for Stearns followed by another break of the Volynets serve took them to 5-1 and I hedged evenly.

I was not involved in the third set but Volynets took it with 2 breaks of serve.

Volynets won 6-4, 2-6, 6-3.

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Trading Tip – WTA Guadalajara, Osorio v Rakhimova

WTA Guadalajara
Osorio v Rakhimova 1.96
Due to start at 1 am

Confidence rating 7/10

Osorio 4-0. Most recent May 2025, clay, 3 sets. She won on hard in Sep 2024 (this tournament), 2 sets. Hard win %’s are fairly even.

Osorio reached the semis last year. 5 WTA 2nd rounds in 2025 including the Aus Open.

Rakhimova reached the q finals last season. 2nd round of the US Open. 2nd round in Montreal. Quarter finals in Jiujiang 2024. Most of her WTA wins in the last year were in qual rounds.

12 month WTA stats are better for Rakhimova on serve. 2025 stats are stronger for Osorio. Fair chance of 3 sets.
Lay Rakhimova around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.00.

Update: Osorio was broken in the first game. I laid Rakhimova. Osorio immediately broke back and I removed my liability to leave profit on Osorio.
Osorio was broken again in the next game and I laid Rakhimova again. Osorio immediately broke back and I again removed liability leaving green on Osorio.
A late break for Osorio gave her the set.

In set 2, Osorio broke for a 2-0 lead and I hedged. I laid Osorio. Laying a player who is a set and a break ahead can be an excellent entry. Osorio was broken in the next game and I hedged evenly. I was not involved in the match any further.
They exchanged breaks in the next 2 games. Rakhimova then went a break ahead and served for the set. She was broken. Osorio won the next 2 games to take the match.

Osorio won 7-5, 7-5.

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