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WTA Indian Wells
Bouzkova v Townsend 1.92
Due to start at 7 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Bouzkova 2-0. Most recent Aug 2024, hard, 2 sets. 3 sets win on hard in 2016. Hard win %’s favour Townsend.

Bouzkova lost in the 1st round last year.
4th Round in Beijing 2025, Semi finals in Monterrey 2025, 3rd Round in Montreal 2025, Title in Prague 2025.

Townsend lost in the qual round last season. This year she has come through the qual rounds.
Final in Austin 2026, 4th Round at the US Open 2025, 3rd Round in Cincinnati 2025, Quarter finals in Washington 2025, 3rd Round in Miami 2025.

12 month stats and stats for their last 10 are stronger for Townsend on serve.
Lay Bouzkova around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.00. Chance of 3 sets.

Match prediction: Townsend in 3 sets.

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Update. At the start of the match, Townsend was priced at 1.86.

Townsend served first. The first 3 games were holds. Bouzkova served at 1-2 and went 0-40 behind. I laid Townsend at 1.43. Bouzkova got back to deuce but faced another break point and was broken. Townsend’s price dropped 4 ticks lower than my entry price.

In the next game, Bouzkova went 30-40 behind. Townsend’s price only went to 1.48. I waited for the break. After the break her price went to 1.68. I removed liability and left the green on Townsend.

Bouzkova served at 2-3 and was broken to 0. Townsend then held to 30. She then broke Bouzkova for the 3rd time in a row to take the set.

Bouzkova’s stats were terrible for that set. I wasn’t convinced that she could compete in the second set.

Townsend’s price was 1.18 after the set.

Townsend served first in the second set. She held to 30. In the next game, she broke Bouzkova after Bouzkova had saved 2 break points.

I laid Townsend at 1.07. In a repeat of the first set, she was immediately broken straight back. I backed Townsend at 1.16 using the same stake that I used for the lay. This left me a larger free bet on Townsend. Bouzkova didn’t win another game.

The pattern of the breaks were very similar in both sets.

Townsend won 6-2, 6-1.

 

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ATP Indian Wells
Halys 1.60 v Walton
Due to start at 7 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Halys 2-0. Most recent Jan 2026, hard, 2 sets. 5 sets win on hard in Jan 2025. 12 month hard win %’s are even. Halys leads in 2026.

Halys reached the 2nd round last year.
Semi finals in Dubai 2025. 4 ATP 2nd rounds in 2026.

Walton reached the 2nd round as qualifier last season.
3rd Round in Cincinnati 2025, Semi finals in Los Cabos 2025, 4th Round in Miami 2025.

12 month stats and stats for their last 10 favour Halys on serve.
Back Halys around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Halys in 2 sets.

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Update: Halys served first and held to 15. In the next game, Walton faced 3 break points but recovered to hold. In the next game, Halys was broken to 30. I backed Halys at 1.98.

The next 4 games were easy holds. Walton served at 4-3. He faced a break point. I removed half the liability at 1.73. Walton saved that break point and saved another before holding to lead 5-3. Halys was broken again in the next game to lose the set. His price went to 2.64.

Halys had a low first serve percentage in that set. He also won just 50% of second serve points. That isn’t a good combination. Walton’s stats were much more solid even though he had a lower second serve win percentage. He was getting more first serves into play.

I hedged for the red at 2.64. In set 2, the first 3 games were holds. Halys was then broken to 30. Walton was now a set and a break ahead. I had not been impressed with Halys up to this point. He had put very little pressure on the Walton serve and had been broken himself 3 times. I left the match alone after that.

There were no more breaks in the match.

Walton won 6-3, 6-3. Disappointing from Halys.