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ATP Australian Open
Popyrin 1.49 v Muller
Due to start at 7:30 am
Confidence rating 7/10

Popyrin 1-0 (Oct 2020, clay, 2 sets). Hard win %’s are even.

Popyrin lost in the 1st round last year.
Quarter finals in Toronto 2025.

Muller lost in the 1st round last season.
2nd round in Hong Kong 2026, Title in Hong Kong 2025.

12 month stats and stats for their last 10 favour Popyrin on serve.
Back Popyrin around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60. 4 sets.

Match prediction: Popyrin in 4 sets.

**Note, the price on Popyrin has changed since I wrote the Trading Tips email so I have amended the target prices (That’s why I give a player’s price in the tips!)

 

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ATP Australian Open
Cerundolo 1.46 v Zhang
Due to start at 2 am
Confidence rating 7/10

Zhang 2-1. Most recent June 2023, grass, Cerundolo in 2. Zhang won on grass in 2021, 4 sets. He won on hard in 2019, 2 sets. Hard win %’s favour Cerundolo.

Cerundolo reached the 3rd round last year. 4th Round in Toronto 2025, Quarter finals in Miami 2025, Quarter finals in Indian Wells 2025.

Zhang lost in the 1st round last season. Just 1 ATP 2nd round in 2025.

12 month stats favour Zhang on serve but most of his wins were in qual rounds.
Back Cerundolo around 1.95 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.

Match prediction: Cerundolo in 4 sets.

Update: Cerundolo won in straight sets. He took a 5-0 lead in the first set so never got close to the target entry price.

Cerundolo won 6-3, 7-6, 6-3.