Daily match picks

Daily match tips

ATP Cup – South Africa v Chile

Kevin Anderson 1.72, Cristian Garin 2.34

Due to start at 1:30 am

This will be their first meeting.

Anderson has a much better long term hard court record. He missed a lot of last season but played well in the tournament he played. He won the title in Pune in the first week of 2019. He made the quarter finals in Miami in March and the third round at Wimbledon. This week he took Novak Djokovic to 2 tie breaks. He was only broken once.

Garin lost to Gael Monfils in 2 sets this week. He played well in that match but has had very limited success in ATP hard court tournaments. In 2019 he won 7 of his 18 hard court matches.

Anderson’s price has drifted from 1.50 earlier in the day. Back Anderson around 1.85.

Update: Comfortable for Anderson. 6-0, 6-3.

 
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ATP World Tour Finals – Semi Final – Thiem v Zverev

Dominic Thiem 1.78, Alexander Zverev 2.28

Due to start at 8 pm

Thiem leads their previous matches 5-2. They last met in the French Open quarter final in May last year. Thiem won on clay in straight sets. Thiem won their only indoor match in February 2017. He won in 3 sets.

Thiem has stronger overall results this season. Indoor results also favour him and stats for the tournament favour him.

Thiem’s only loss in the round robin matches was to Matteo Berrettini when he had already qualified for the semi finals. He beat Roger Federer in 2 tight sets in his first match and Djokovic was beaten in a third set tie break.

ATP World Tour Finals - Semi Final - Thiem v Zverev 1
Dominic Thiem – Photo from Tennis24.co.za

Zverev had an easy win over Rafael Nadal in his first match but then lost to Stefanos Tsitsipas in straight sets. Last night he needed to beat Daniil Medvedev to reach the semi finals and to knock out Nadal. He won in straight sets without facing a single break point. He won this title last year.

We have some value on Zverev and I expect this to go to 3 sets. I favour Thiem to win. Back Thiem around 2.10. Lay the set 1 winner.

Update: A very tight first set went to Thiem with a late break of serve. He had easily hit our entry price. Unfortunately it was yet another straight sets match.
Thiem won 7-5, 6-3.

 
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