WTA Charleston
Anisimova 1.52 v Kudermetova
Due to start at 00:30
Kudermetova 2-0. Most recent Jan 2023, hard, 2 sets. She won on clay in May 2021, 2 sets. Clay win %’s are better for Kudermetova.
Anisimova reached the 2nd round last year. 2nd round of the French Open.
Kudermetova reached the q finals last season. Easy win in the 1st round.
Neither player has played many clay matches in the last 12 months.
12 month WTA stats favour Kudermetova. Recent performances are better for Anisimova on hard courts. Kudermetova is far from her best and it is hard to trust her.
Back Anisimova around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
Update:
In the first game, Anisimova faced a bp but held serve. That would be the only BP that Kudermetova had in the first set. Kudermetova was broken in the next game. There were no more break points in the set until Kudermetova was broken at 2-5.
As Kudermetova had not been competitive, I did not lay Anisimova at the start of set 2.
Kudermetova faced 3 more bp’s in her next service game but held.
Anisimova didn’t face bp’s until she served at 4-2. She faced 3 bp’s but held. Kudermetova was broken in the next game to give the set and the match to Anisimova.
If you laid Anisimova when she went a set and a break ahead, you would have been able to take a small profit when Anisimova faced the 3 bp’s at 4-2.
Anisimova won 6-2, 6-2.
This Trading Tip is taken from the Trading Tips email service.
Trading tips for every main draw match, 7 days a week.
Sign up at https://blog.tradesharktennis.com/tennis-trading-tips/
Info for using the Trading Tip.
Keep stakes low while learning the tennis markets.
The prices I give are where I suggest we enter the market. I am looking for the price to hit during set 1, and hopefully early in the set to give us time to get our exit price.
I will often say to lay Player A “around 1.25”. If the price gets close to that price we can enter. In this example we might enter at 1.27.
We are then looking for our exit price. I will post to remove liab or liability/risk/red at a particular price. I will often remove at least some of the liability if our player gets a break point and then remove any remaining liability when the break is complete. It can be frustrating if our player gets break points but doesn’t break. By removing some liability, we improve our break even price so if they don’t get the break of serve, we are still in profit.
If the advice is to lay the set 1 winner: If I am expecting the match to go to 3 sets, I want to lay whoever takes the first set. However, if the player who lost the set is serving first in set 2, it can be a good idea to wait for them to have their service game before laying. Even if they get broken, we can lay after that first service game. Laying a player when they are a set and a break ahead is a solid entry as the leading player will often relax and allow the other player back into the set.
As a general guide, until you are experienced enough to make your own choices and trading decisions, I recommend exiting the trade if your player gets broken AFTER you backed them. There will, of course be situations when they do recover but it’s best to protect your confidence as much as you should protect your bank.
