WTA Charleston
Tomljanovic v Stearns 1.47
Due to start at 8:30 pm
This will be their 1st meeting. Clay win %’s are better for Stearns.
Tomljanovic needed 3 sets as strong favourite in the 1st round. She reached the 2nd round in Palermo. Challenger 2nd round in May.
Stearns reached the 3rd round of the French Open. Title in Rabat. 2 Challenger q finals in May.
12 month WTA clay stats are much stronger for Stearns.
Back Stearns around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.50.
Update:
Tomljanovic faced 3 bp’s in the first game but held. She broke Stearns in the next game to lead 2-0. I backed Stearns.
Stearns immediately broke back and I removed most of my liability.
Unfortunately, Stearns would have a nightmare on serve and did not hold once in the first set. I hedged for a small profit when she was broken for the second time.
As her stats were so poor in set 1, I did not enter in the second set.
Stearns went behind twice in the second set and broke back each time but when she went behind for a third time to trail 4-5 she could not save herself again.
Tomljanovic won 6-1, 6-4.
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Info for using the Trading Tip.
Keep stakes low while learning the tennis markets.
The prices I give are where I suggest we enter the market. I am looking for the price to hit during set 1, and hopefully early in the set to give us time to get our exit price.
I will often say to lay Player A “around 1.25”. If the price gets close to that price we can enter. In this example we might enter at 1.27.
We are then looking for our exit price. I will post to remove liab or liability/risk/red at a particular price. I will often remove at least some of the liability if our player gets a break point and then remove any remaining liability when the break is complete. It can be frustrating if our player gets break points but doesn’t break. By removing some liability, we improve our break even price so if they don’t get the break of serve, we are still in profit.
If the advice is to lay the set 1 winner: If I am expecting the match to go to 3 sets, I want to lay whoever takes the first set. However, if the player who lost the set is serving first in set 2, it can be a good idea to wait for them to have their service game before laying. Even if they get broken, we can lay after that first service game. Laying a player when they are a set and a break ahead is a solid entry as the leading player will often relax and allow the other player back into the set.
As a general guide, until you are experienced enough to make your own choices and trading decisions, I recommend exiting the trade if your player gets broken AFTER you backed them. There will, of course be situations when they do recover but it’s best to protect your confidence as much as you should protect your bank.
