US Open 3rd round
Muchova 1.44 v Potapova 3.20
Due to start at 4 pm
Muchova 2-1. Most recent Aug 2023, hard, Muchova in 2. Potapova won on hard in 2018, 3 sets. Hard win %’s are better for Muchova.
Muchova reached the semi finals last year. She has not played many tournaments since then but has performed well on all surfaces. 2 sets win in the first round. 2 sets win over Osaka in the second round.
Potapova lost in the 1st round last year. She beat Fernandez in 3 sets as underdog in the first round. 2 sets win over Lepchenko in the second round. Semi finals in Cleveland. Quarter finals in Indian Wells. Third round in Dubai. Quarter finals in Brisbane.
12 month stats and 2024 stats are stronger for Muchova.
Back Muchova around 1.95 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.50.
I am often asked if the tips are intended to be backed and left to run.
The short answer is “NO”. The slightly longer answer is “HELL NO”. The long answer is that I very rarely leave a back bet to run until the end of the match. I can think of just 2 occasions in the last year. The clue is in the title of the site. The tips are for TRADING.
The aim of the match picks on here and in the Daily Trading Tips emails is to give you a value entry point. After that you need to manage your position. If you have little tennis trading experience here are some simple ways to manage the trade:
Once the price has reached the target price and you have entered your first trade you are waiting for a significant price move in your favour. This can be a break of serve or your player wins the set. Then you should remove some or all of your liability (risk).
If your player does not perform well and gets broken after you have entered the trade then you can exit with a loss.