These predictions are aimed at traders rather than punters. When assessing a match, I initially look for 2 things. Who do I think will win and how competitive will the other player be? Use them for straight bets if you wish but please bear in mind that is not what they are intended for.
**For previous rounds, if predictions were correct, I have left them in blue. Corrections are in black. The number in brackets is the confidence rating out of 10 from the Trading Tips email.
This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service. Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match. Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.
WTA Memphis Sonmez 1.50 v Kalieva Due to start at 8 pm Confidence rating 7/10
1st meeting. Hard win %’s favour Kalieva.
Sonmez needed 3 sets in the 1st round as 1.16 favourite. She reached the Quarter finals in Merida 2026, 3rd Round at the Australian Open 2026, 3rd Round in Beijing 2025.
Kalieva had a 2 sets win in the 1st round as favourite. She reached the 2nd round in Maimi 2026 as qualifier. CH q final in Oct.
12 month WTA stats favour Kalieva on serve. 2026 stats also favour Kalieva overall. Sonmez has better WTA results in 2026. Chance of 3 sets. Back Sonmez around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
Update: Sonmez served first. She was broken to 15. Her price only moved to 1.85. Often, in this situation, I would back her but due to the poor value, I would use a reduced stake. This time, I decided to wait to give Kalieva the chance to take the first point of her service game. 0-1
Kalieva did take the first point and I backed Sonmez at 2.02. Kalieva was taken to deuce twice and was broken. I removed liability at 1.57, leaving the green on Sonmez. 1-1
Sonmez saved 2 break points but recovered to hold. 2-1
The next 4 games were holds with no break points. 2-2 3-2 3-3 4-3
Kalieva saved 3 break points but was eventually broken. 5-3
Sonmez had to save 2 break points when serving for the set but did eventually hold. 6-3
Stats for the set were better for Sonmez overall. She had a better first serve percentage and a better first serve points won percentage.
After the set, Sonmez was priced at 1.20/1.21.
Kalieva served first in the second set. When the first set loser serves first in the second set, I usually wait for them to have their service game before laying the set winner.
Kalieva was broken to 15. I laid Sonmez at 1.09. The lay was risk free due to the free bet on Sonmez from the first set. 1-0
Sonmez was broken after being taken to deuce twice. I backed Sonmez at 1.18 using the same stake used to lay her. This increased the free bet on Sonmez. 1-1
The next 2 games were holds. 1-2 2-2
Kalieva was broken after being taken to deuce. I laid Sonmez again at 1.10. 3-2
Sonmez was broken to 30. I hedged evenly at 1.20. This set could go either way. 3-3
Easy hold for Kalieva. 3-4
Sonmez saved 2 break points and held serve. 4-4
The next 3 games were holds. Sonmez again had to save 2 break points in her game. 4-5 5-5 5-6
Sonmez saved a break point. She faced another and this time, she was broken to give the set to Kalieva. 5-7
Stats for the set were really poor for Sonmez on first serve points won. She won 38% of points on that first serve.
It was late so I didn’t trade the third set.
Looking at the point by point data, it was a messy set! Kalieva served first. She saved 3 break point before holding. 0-1
Sonmez saved a break point and held. 1-1
Kalieva was broken. 2-1
Sonmez held after being taken to deuce. 3-1
Kalieva was broken again. 4-1
Sonmez was broken. Then Kalieva held. Sonmez was broken again! 4-2 4-3 4-4
Kalieva was broken again. 5-4
Sonmez served for the match but was broken to 0. 5-5
Kalieva held to 30. 5-6
Sonmez was broken to 15 to give the set and the match to Kalieva. 5-7
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