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WTA Cincinnati
Swiatek 1.64 v Rybakina
Due to start at midnight
Confidence rating 7/10

Swiatek 7-6. Most recent Aug 2026, hard, Swiatek in 2 sets. Rybakina won on hard in Jan 2026, 2 sets. Rybakina won indoors in Nov 2025, 3 sets. Swiatek won 4 times in 2025, 3 of them were on hard. Hard win %’s slightly favour Rybakina.

Swiatek won the Title last year. Easy win over Arango in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Sakkari in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Parry in the 4th round.
Quarter finals in Indian Wells 2026, Quarter finals in Doha 2026, Quarter finals at the Australian Open 2026, Quarter finals in Wuhan 2025, 4th Round in Beijing 2025, Title in Seoul 2025, Quarter finals at the US Open 2025.

Rybakina reached the semi final last season. 2 sets win over Townsend in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Frech in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Shnaider in the 4th round.
Semi finals in Miami 2026, Final in Indian Wells 2026, Quarter finals in Doha 2026, Title at the Australian Open 2026, Quarter finals in Brisbane 2026, Semi finals in Tokyo 2025, Title in Ningbo 2025, Quarter finals in Wuhan 2025, 4th Round at the US Open 2025.

12 month stats and 2026 stats favour Rybakina on serve. Return stats are much better for Swiatek. Stats for their last 10 on hard favour Swiatek overall.
Chance of 3 sets.
Back Swiatek around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Swiatek in 3 sets.

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