Belinda Bencic 1.60, Jelena Ostapenko 2.64
Due to start at midnight.
Ostapenko won their only previous meeting. That was in Indian Wells in March 2018. She won in 3 sets on a hard court.
Better overall results for Bencic in the last 12 months. Her hard court results are much stronger in the same period.
Ostapenko has an easy win over Ludmilla Samsonova in the last round. Ostapenko served quite well in that match. She won 80% of her first serve points and only hit 3 double faults. She can normally hit that total in her first service game! She saved all 5 of the break points that she faced.
Bencic beat Anna Karolina Schmiedlova in 2 close sets in the last round. She faced 15 break points and was broken 4 times. Bencic has been a little disappointing in her last 2 matches. She won just 4 games against Danielle Collins in Adelaide last week.
I think we have a very good chance that this goes to 3 sets. We have value on Ostapenko and she has a great chance tonight. Lay Bencic around 1.40 to 1.50 and remove the liability at 1.95. Lay the set 1 winner.