Jabeur (1.52) v McHale (2.84)
Due to start around 9:30 pm
McHale won their only previous meeting. That was on a hard court in the Doha qualifying rounds in 2017. She won in 2 tight sets.
Overall results favour Jabeur in the last 12 months and also in 2020. Their hard court results are quite even in the last year.
McHale has come through the qualifying rounds. She beat Iga Swiatek and Ekaterina Alexandrova in the main draw. I thought she would lose to both those players. She has had a shoulder problem over the last couple of years that was affecting her serve. Her serve has improved a great deal this week.
Jabeur beat Madison Keys last night after beating in form Leylah Annie Fernandez in the first round. She didn’t face a single break point against keys who had a poor match. Fernandez gave her more problems and she was broken 6 times in 3 sets.
Stats for the tournament are very even. We have a very good chance of this going to 3 sets. Lay Jabeur around 1.30 and remove some or all of the liability at 1.60.
Lay the set 1 winner. I give a slight edge to Jabeur to win.