Ekaterina Alexandrova 1.64, Elena Rybakina 2.5
Due to start at 5 am.
This will be their first meeting.
Overall results favour Rybakina in the last 12 months. Her hard court results were also better. She won 70% of her matches compared to 63% for Alexandrova.
Alexandrova has had some tough opponents this week and has dropped 1 set in 4 matches. Qiang Wang took that set from her. Garbine Muguruza, Shuai Peng and Katerina Siniakova were all beaten in straight sets.
Rybakina dropped sets to Elise Mertens and Saisai Zheng. She also beat in form Kristyna Pliskova in 2 sets.
We have some value on Rybakina and I think she takes at least a set. Lay Alexandrova around 1.45 to 1.50 and remove liability around 1.95. Lay the set 1 winner.
Stats for the week favour Alexandrova for everything except service holds and she probably wins.