Ekaterina Alexandrova 1.64, Elena Rybakina 2.5
Due to start at 5 am.
This will be their first meeting.
Overall results favour Rybakina in the last 12 months. Her hard court results were also better. She won 70% of her matches compared to 63% for Alexandrova.
Alexandrova has had some tough opponents this week and has dropped 1 set in 4 matches. Qiang Wang took that set from her. Garbine Muguruza, Shuai Peng and Katerina Siniakova were all beaten in straight sets.
![WTA Shenzhen, Final: Alexandrova v Rybakina 1 Alexandrova](https://lastwordontennis.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/17/2019/10/Alexandrova.png)
Rybakina dropped sets to Elise Mertens and Saisai Zheng. She also beat in form Kristyna Pliskova in 2 sets.
We have some value on Rybakina and I think she takes at least a set. Lay Alexandrova around 1.45 to 1.50 and remove liability around 1.95. Lay the set 1 winner.
Stats for the week favour Alexandrova for everything except service holds and she probably wins.
![WTA Shenzhen, Final: Alexandrova v Rybakina 2 Tennis Trading Course](https://blog.tradesharktennis.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/Course-banner-2024-newsig2-1.jpg)