Battle of the Brits Exhibition, 31st July 2020

Use reduced stakes as it is a exhibition.

WTA

Broady (2.38) v Silva (1.67)

Due to start at 11:30 am

Silva leads their previous matches 2-1. Both her wins were last week on indoor courts. Broady’s win was also indoors in 2013.

Their overall results are pretty even in the last 12 months and in 2020. Silva has slightly better hard court results.

Silva has played 13 matched during Covid and has won 10 of them. This week she took Heather Watson to 3 sets.

Broady’s 2020 matches have all been during the lockdown. She has played 23 matches. Ten of those were on hard courts. She won 5 of them. Those wins were against opponents outside the top 600. She has lost both her matches this week without winning a set. She started both as favourite.

Hopefully Broady can make the better start. Back Silva round 2.10. I would remove some or all of the liability if Silva then breaks an holds serve.

WTA

Burrage (1.27) v Grey (3.75)

Due to start at 11:30 am

Burrage won their only previous match which was earlier this month on a hard court. She won in straight sets.

Burrage has better overall results in the last 12 months and also in 2020. Her hard court results are also stronger and especially so in 2020. She has won 17 of 21 matches on hard courts (81%).

Burrage has been underdog in both her matches this week. She lost to Raducanu in straight sets and beat Harriet Dart in 3.

Grey won 5 of her 7 hard court matches in an exhibition 3 weeks ago. Broady was the only player that she beat who was inside the top 500. She met Broady again this week and beat her comfortably in 2 sets.

This should be a close match. We have some value on Silva.

Lay Burrage around 1.20 and remove liability at 1.40. Back Burrage if she loses the first set.

ATP

Peniston (6.8) v Norrie (1.15)

Due to start at 1 pm

They have met just once before. Norrie won on a hard court last month in 3 sets.

Norrie has stronger overall results in the last year and also in 2020.

Peniston gave Kyle Edmund a real scare in their match this week. Edmund eventually won 10-8 in the 3rd set match tie break.

Norrie has played 2 matches this week. He beat Jan Choinski as a short priced favourite in 2 sets. He then had an excellent win over Dan Evans in 2 tie breaks.

If Norrie is motivated then he will win but if he takes that win for granted we can see him trade about his start price.

Try a small lay around 1.10 and remove the liability around 1.20 to 1.25. Back Norrie if he loses set 1.

WTA

Watson (1.24) v Lumsden (4.76)

Due to start at 2:30 pm

This will be their first meeting.

Watson has stronger overall results in the last year and in 2020. Their hard court win percentages are fairly even although Watson has played a lot more matches and faced much tougher opponents.

After a slow start in her first match this week she has looked pretty good. That match was her first since the tour was suspended in March.

Lumsden had not played on hard courts before this week since September. She has played 8 indoor matches during lockdown and won 4 of them. This week she has won both her matches. She had a real fight with Alicia Barnett in her first match. She won that in a close 3rd set match tie break. She then beat Naomi Broady as underdog in straight sets.

I’ll be surprised if Watson loses this one but I do expect Lumsden to be competitive. Lay Watson around 1.15 to 1.20 and remove the liability around 1.30. Back Watson if she gets broken first and Lumsden also holds her own serve. A small lay on the first set 1 winner is a decent plan especially if Lumsden takes the set.

ATP

Evans (1.67) v Edmund (2.24)

Due to start at 4:30 pm

Edmund leads their previous meetings 3-2. Evans has won their last 2 matches on hard courts including a straight sets win earlier this week.

Evans has slightly better overall results in the last 12 months. They are quite evenly matched in 2020. Evens has much better hard court results in the last year.

Evans has played 7 matches in the 2 Battle of the Brits exhibitions. He had his first loss in his last match. That was against Cameron Norrie. He lost in 2 tie breaks.

Edmund has only lost 2 of his Battle of the Brits matches. Both those losses were against Dan Evans. Edmund was almost beaten by 394 ranked Ryan Peniston in his most recent match this week. Edmund won the 3rd set match tie break.

I expect both players to raise their games today. Edmund didn’t have many chances in their match this week. Back Evans around 2.00 to 2.10. I think it is worth laying the first set winner. This is going to be tight. I give Evans a slight edge.

   
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