TradeShark Diary 16th November 2020

It’s the last ATP tournament of the season with the World Tour Finals in London. The Challenger calendar seems to have been updated since the last time I checked it. There are 2 tournaments next week and 2 the week after.

Unfortunately the WTA tournament in Limoges has been cancelled. This is because of the 2 week quarantine that players must respect if they want to play in Australia.

Something else needed replacing in the kitchen! We have already had a new cooker and a new washing machine during Covid. Last week I noticed that the fridge wasn’t cold enough. The freezer was working fine. A google search came up with several possible reasons and I spent a day trying to fix it in between trades. Nothing worked and as it was about 12 years old we were due a new one. As Sue has more idea now of how much money we have I expected her to push for one of those American style fridge freezers. I was bracing myself for the 900+ quid bill but she was happy with a standard one. It has a lot more capacity than the old one and a cold water dispenser on the front so she’s happy. I did tell her that if she breaks a leg or an arm I will have to throw her out. I can’t justify the expense of replacing anything else.

We will be having our Christmas Day on Boxing Day so Sue has swapped her shifts at work. That means she is working on Christmas day and it’s just me and the dogs at home. I don’t mind that. We have done it before. We’ll go on a long walk and then hit Netflix.

Things have remained pretty quiet around here. Most families are keeping their kids inside during lockdown. There are a few who think they can do what they like. It often seems to be the people who have the most kids that are the worst parents. One family has 9 kids and a few of them have been meeting up with a few from other households. They express themselves by screaming as if possessed. They are far enough away from us for them not to be a problem but I’m sure those parents who ARE keeping their sprogs inside won’t be impressed.

I got some new dog shampoo. This time of year tends to bring a little more of that wet dog smell. I found something on Amazon that claimed to make dogs smell like baby powder. It really works!! I bath them outside so needed a mild day to try it out. I managed to get Molly done last week but it rained practically every day after that so Charlie stayed smelly (not VERY smelly but enough that he was due a bath). The sun was out briefly on Sunday morning so I took the chance to bath him. He smells LOVELY! He goes very fluffy after a bath which seems to depress him for a while. He then takes the first chance he gets to roll in fox shit. This time not only is he fluffy but he smells like baby powder. He’s WELL impressed.

Sue has been looking forward to the new series of The Crown coming onto Netflix. She asked if she could watch it last night. I don’t mind it so we watched the first 2 episodes. That took us to 11pm. I took the dogs out and went to bed. She was up until 2am watching more of it. She got up as normal at 7am but soon went back to bed. When she got up she watched the rest of the series. She said the last one was an anti-climax. She was absolutely bolloxed when I finished work. We ate at 6 and she went straight to bed. She is working Tuesday and Wednesday so she’ll be like a zombie by Wednesday night.

It’s nearly time for the Medvedev v Zverev match at the year end finals. Slight edge to Zverev although I thought the same when they met in the Paris Masters final.

That’s about it for now. Stay safe.

 
Tennis Trading Guide

TradeShark Diary 16th November 2020 Read More »

ATP World Tour Finals: Medvedev v Zverev

Round Robin stage

Medvedev (1.82) v Zverev (2.2)

Due to start at 8 pm

Zverev leads their previous matches 5-2. They last met indoors in the Paris Masters final 2 weeks ago. Medvedev won in 3 sets. Zverev won at this tournament last year. He won in the round robin stage in 2 close sets. Medvedev has won 2 of their last 3 meetings.

Head to head info
Head to head info from Tennis Insight

Overall results in the last 12 months are very even. Zverev has the slightest of edges. Indoor results favour Zverev.

Medvedev made his first appearance at the year end finals last season but lost all 3 of his round robin matches. He lost in straight sets to Tsitsipas and Zverev and took a set from Nadal. Medvedev reached the quarter finals in Vienna before beating Zverev in the Paris Masters final.

Zverev won both Cologne titles indoors last month as well as reaching that final in Paris. He won this tournament in 2018 and reached the semi finals in 2019.

Zverev
Zverev – Photo: Tennis World USA

We have some value on Zverev as this should be another close match. There is a very good chance that it goes to 3 sets. Lay Medvedev around 1.50 and remove some or all of your liability at 2.00. Lay the winner of the first set.

I have had a handful of questions in the last few months asking about the advice that I give on this blog and also on Twitter. The most common question is asking if the tips are intended to be backed and left to run.

The short answer is “NO”. The slightly longer answer is “HELL NO”. The long answer is that I very rarely leave a back bet to run until the end of the match. I can think of just 2 occasions in the last year. The clue is in the title of the site. The tips are for TRADING.

The aim of the match picks on here and in the Daily Trading Tips emails is to give you a value entry point. After that you need to manage your position. If you have little tennis trading experience here are some simple ways to manage the trade:

Once the price has reached the target price and you have entered your first trade you are waiting for a significant price move in your favour. This can be a break of serve or your player wins the set. Then you should remove some or all of your liability (risk).

If your player does not perform well and gets broken after you have entered the trade then you can exit with a loss.

 
Tennis Trading Guide

ATP World Tour Finals: Medvedev v Zverev Read More »

We are using cookies on this site

Please click "Accept" if you accept our tracking cookies. You can also decline the tracking, so you can continue to visit our website without any data being sent to third party services.