Selected Exhibition Matches, 22nd July 2020

There aren’t many matches that look promising today. This started off as a larger selection. Not all of them appeared on Betfair. Here are a couple that do. If I find any more I will add them.

As they are EXHIBITIONS you’re advised to use reduced stakes.

ATP Eastern European Championship

Krajinovic (1.34) v Djere (3.6)

Due to start around 5 pm

Krajinovic leads their previous matches 4-2. He has won their last 4 meetings. The last 2 were in 2019. He won indoors in Basel in October and on clay in Hamburg in July. Both of Djere’s wins were on clay in 2017.

Overall results strongly favour Krajinovic in the last 12 months. He also leads in 2020 but his lead isn’t so big. They are fairly closely matched on clay. Krajinovic has the higher ROI in 2020.

All Krajinovic’s matches during Covid have been on clay. He survived Djokovic’s Adria Exhibition and actually beat Djokovic that week and also took Thiem and Zverev to 3 sets. He has been unbeaten in his 4 matches since then although his highest ranked opponent was 487th ranked Aldin Setkic.

Djere has also only played on clay during the pandemic. He has played 7 matches. He was very strong pre match favourite in all of them. His only loss was his first during the lockdown against Mirza Basic.

Krajinovic has faced tougher opponents. I have to favour him to win but if Djere can find some motivation his best chances against Krajinovic will always be on a clay court.

Lay Krajinovic if he gets a very early break of serve and remove the liability if Djere breaks back. Back Krajinovic around 1.80 or if he loses set 1.

Coric (2.74) v Dzumhur (1.45)

Due to start around 7 pm

Dzumhur won their only previous meeting. That was in July 2014 in the quarter final of the San Benedetto Challenger in Italy. He won in straight sets.

Overall results in the last 12 months and also in 2020 favour Dzumhur. He also has better clay results this season.

Coric’s only other event during the CoronaVirus was the Djokovic Adria Exhibition. He was not as fortunate as Krajinovic and tested positive for Covid-19. Yesterday he retired early in the match tie break after he and Alexandar Lazarov shared 2 tie break sets.

Dzumhur is another player who has only played on clay during the lockdown. He has played 8 matches and his only loss was to Dominic Thiem when he retired after 2 games.

Coric managed to compete for 2 sets before retiring. If he doesn’t pull out before this match he is likely to want to try to win in straight sets.

Lay Dzumhur if he gets an early break of serve. Back Dzumhur around 1.90 to 2.00.

 
Tennis Trading Guide

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TradeShark Diary 21st July 2020

“Rafael Nadal drops huge hint he’ll skip US Open”. I must admit I thought I had already read this news as he was committed to Madrid and the French Open. The French Open seems to mean a little more to him and it wouldn’t be realistic to defend 2 grand slam titles with just a week between them.

Article from Tennis head.

Novak Djokovic tipped to ‘take advantage’ of Rafael Nadal decision by former world number one.

Tennis Head article.

Danielle Collins has been kicked out of an Exhibition event in America.

Article from Essentiallysports.com

Yesterday was a pretty busy one. There were some matches in the Czech republic that looked promising. I previewed them in a blog post. Liquidity wasn’t great. I missed the first one as I had a car load of stuff to take to the household waste site. I knew that when they opened again after being shut for most of the pandemic that there were long queues to get in. I was hoping that those desperate to get rid of their rubbish would have done so in the last few weeks.

As I approached the site there were a lot of signs warning about possible queues. As I got nearer there was a guy with a stop/start sign who looked bored to death. Great! No queue. As I reached the bend just before the site there were yellow diversion signs directing you into the leisure centre car park which is on the opposite side of the road. I could now see the entrance to the site. There 2 guys who were also looking bored. There were a lot of cones around the entrance and when I got there I saw that the cones blocked the entrance. The exit was clear and for a split second I thought maybe they were using some odd one way system and you had to enter through the exit. Pretty stupid thought to have. It disappeared when I remembered that there are spikes on the approach to the exit that would wreck your tyres if you went over them the wrong way.

I drove past the site and went round the small roundabout to come back past the site. This time there was a guy holding up a stop sign. There were a few cars being allowed in from the opposite direction. It’s on a bend and I couldn’t see where the cars were coming from. I just assumed they were coming down the road as I had done a couple of minutes earlier. I stuck a right indicator on thinking that I would just push my way in. The guy with the stop sign changed it to a go sign. He seemed to roll his eyes as he saw my indicator. As I got to where he had been standing I could then see that the cars that were being allowed in were coming from the leisure centre car park. The penny dropped. There WAS a queue. At least i hadn’t tried to push my way through!

I changed the right indicator to a left indicator and followed the diversion signs. They were using part of the leisure centre car park to get the queue off the main road.

TradeShark Diary 21st July 2020 1

Have people produced so much more rubbish during lock down that we now need to queue for 40 minutes to get into the tip? Someone on Twitter suggested that going there just before they close is a better idea as there are no queues. I’ll try that next time.

As you know I have spent a lot of time during Covid trying different things with the website. One thing that I have been testing is the header at the top. Before the virus came along the site was converting like crazy. Sales during the lockdown have been a lot better than I had hoped for but obviously there has not been the same volume of visitors. The conversion rate dropped a bit. I have gone back to the header image that I was using just before everything shut down. I personally think that the white back ground with an image of my face and trading screen on a monitor looked better. Obviously my face didn’t add anything to the over all look. I was pretty small. I liked the clean look of the layout. The old one looked a bit like all the other sites but it seems to grab people’s attention in those first few vital seconds when someone lands on the page. I guess my face isn’t my fortune. That will come as no surprise to anyone.

There were no matches worth trading today so I finished the set 2 thought process flowchart. Tradeshark members will find that on the members pages. Feedback as always is welcomed.

LESS than 2 weeks until the tennis is back.

Stay safe.

 
Tennis Trading Guide

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