Free Tennis Tips, 20th August 2021

WTA Cincinnati, Quarter Final

Kerber v Kvitova

Due to start around 6 pm

Kvitova 8-7. Most recent June 2021, grass, Kerber in 3rd set tie break. Kvitova won on clay in 2021. Kvitova won their last hard court match in 2019, 2 sets.

Long term hard win % favour Kvitova. She won 33 from her last 50. Kerber won 29 of 50. Stats for the tournament favour Kvitova.

Kvitova has not lost a set this week. All 3 of her opponents had the potential to give her some real problems. She was broken in all 3 matches but only Kudermetova in round 2 broke her twice.

Kerber will be competitive but I think she will need to serve a little more consistently if she is to have a chance to win. She beat Sakkari surprisingly easily in the first round as underdog. She was also underdog against Svitolina. Against Ostapenko in the last round, Kerber was pre match favourite. Ostapenko was striking the ball very well in the third round and took the first set. She also had a 3-0 lead in the third set before Kerber made her comeback. Kerber needed 2 attempts to serve out the match.

Back Kvitova round 2.30 and remove liability at 1.65. Lay the set 1 winner.

Update: A single late break gave Kerber the chance to serve for the set. It wasn’t an early hold but she took the set. In the second set, Kvitova took a 3-0 lead but was feeling ill and spoke to the doctor. She didn’t look well at all and also had another MTO. When Kerber got back to 3-3, Kvitova retired.

Kerber won 6-4, 3-3(ret)

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