Daily match picks

Daily match tips

Battle of the Brits, 28th July 2020

These matches are being played on hard courts. Two normal sets and the third set will be a match tie break to 10 points.

It is another exhibition so you’re advised to use reduced stakes.

ATP

Matusevich (2.5) v Broady (1.52)

Due to start at 11:30 am

This will be their first meeting.

Matusevich is inexperienced as a pro. he has played just 9 matches although he won 6 of them. Eight of those matches were in 2020. Seven of them were last week! He beat Lloyd Glasspool and Jan Choinski as underdog.

Broady has won 9 of his last 10 matches. He has played 14 matches during the pandemic. He won 9 of them. He was strong favourite in his last 11 matches. Those were indoors. He didn’t win a set in the last Battle of the Brits against Evans, Murray and Edmund.

Broady has a lot more experience and should be too strong today. He may not have everything his own way.

Back Broady around 1.85 to 1.95.

Update: Broad made a fast start and ran away with the first set. He was broken at the start of set 2 and gave the set up quite weakly. He also made very hard work of the match tie break.
Broady won 6-1, 2-6, 12-10.

WTA

Boulter (2.8) v Konta (1.46)

Due to start at 1 pm

This is their first meeting.

Boulter has a better win percentage in the last 12 months and also in 2020. Most of her best results were in ITF tournaments or Challengers. Her hard court results are also better. Konta has better hard court results in main tour tournaments in the last year.

Konta has not played a match during the pandemic.(EDIT, yes she did. She lost yesterday in 2 sets to Burrage). Just before lockdown she reached the semi finals in Monterrey on hard courts. She had lost her other 3 matches in 2020 as pre match favourite.

Boulter reached the third round at the Indian Wells Challenger just before the tour was suspended. Two weeks ago she played an exhibition indoors. She won all 4 of her matches although she was favourite in every one.

Konta should be better than she was yesterday which was her first match during the pandemic. If she breaks in the early games lay her and remove liability when Boulter breaks back. Back Konta around 1.90 to 2.00.

Update: Konta had an absolute nightmare from the service line. She was broken in the first game of the match. She immediately broke back but didn’t manage to hold serve once in that set. In fact she did not manage to hold serve until she was 1-3 behind in set 2. That looked like it was a turning point and she took a 5-3 lead. She was broken easily. The set went to a tie break. Konta took it. Konta also took the match tie break.
Konta won 2-6, 7-6, 10-6

ATP

Evans (1.76) v Edmund (2)

Due to start at 5 pm

Edmund leads their previous matches 3-1. Their most recent meeting was in the last Battle of the Brits. Evans won fairly comfortably in straight sets. Edmund’s last win was on grass at Eastbourne in 2019. He won on clay in 2017 and indoors in 2016.

Evans has slightly better better overall results in the last 12 months and also in 2020. Edmund has better hard court results.

Evans won all 5 of his matches at the last Battle of the Brits. He reached the semi finals in Dubai in February on hard courts.

Edmund’s only loss at the last Battle of the Brits was against Evans. He reached the quarter finals in Acapulco and Auckland in 2020 on hard courts.

I think this one will be closer than their last meeting. I still favour Evans to win a close match.

Back Evans around 2.20. Lay the set 1 winner.

Update: Edmund saved break points in the first game and then had a break point in Evans’ first service game. that gave us the highest price of the match on Evans. The only other break points of the set went to Evans and he took the second one for a 4-3 lead. He took the set.
The second set was also close and again Evans broke for a 4-3 lead. Edmund had 2 break points in the next game but couldn’t convert.
Evans won 6-4, 6-4.

Evans price

 
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WTA Swiss Pro Cup, Exhibition

It’s an exhibition so you’re advised to use reduced stakes.

They have allowed less than an hour for each match so they are using a changed format. Flashscores indicate that they are using the fast 4 format. First to 4 games with a tie break at 3-3. They probably won’t play Advantage from deuce so at 40-40 the next point wins the game.

Bencic (1.3) v Teichmann (3.2)

Due to start at 2:30 pm

Bencic won their only previous meeting. That was in November 2017 in an indoor Challenger quarter final. She won in straight sets.

Overall results strongly favour Bencic in the last 12 months and also in 2020. Her indoor results are a little better.

Teichmann has only played 3 matches during lockdown. They were on clay. Bencic has played 3 matches on clay and 2 on hard courts. She only lost 1 of those matches which was on clay against Schmiedlova. She beat Vondrousova and Martincova on hard courts in straight sets. In both those matches she won the opening set 6-0.

Bencic can often start slowly if her opponent puts her under pressure. She should control this match but i don’t want to enter at 1.30. Back her if Teichmann gets the first break or if she somehow takes the first set.

Voegele (2.1) v Golubic (1.67)

Due to start at 3:20 pm

Voegele has won both their previous meetings. The most recent was in April 2019 on clay. She won easily in 2 sets. The other match was indoors in 2016. She won in 3 sets.

Their 12 month overall results are quite even but Voegele has stronger results this season. Both players have decent indoor results. Golubic has not played indoors since April 2019. Voegele had 4 wins in qualifying rounds indoors in October last year.

Golubic has played just 2 matches during the pandemic. Both were on clay earlier this month. She beat Svitolina and Teichmann.

Voegele played 2 clay matches during lockdown. She narrowly beat Teichman and Simona Wiltert in 3 sets. She lost on a hard court to Kristyna Pliskova last week.

Golubic has beaten stronger opponents indoors but her best results were in 2018.

This could be a close one. Some value on Voegele. We have a decent chance of 3 sets. I will be backing whoever gets broken first. I give Golubic a slight edge and would prefer her to make the slower start. Anything over 2.20 to 2.30 is a decent price to back her. Lay the set 1 winner.

Hingis (1.83) v Schnyder (2.2)

Due to start at 4:10 pm

Patty Schnyder won both their previous matches. Both were in 2017 on a hard court and a clay court.

Hingis last played on the main tour in 2015. Schnyder last played in 2018, mainly in ITF events. She played mainly on clay that season.

There really is no way to assess accurately who is in better shape. For all we know they have been bingeing on donuts and chocolate. It will be an interesting one to watch but personally I won’t be placing any bets on this match.

Hingis has the better pedigree and if i had to pick a winner it would be her. I’d wait for 2.10 or better before entering.

 
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