Daily match picks

Use reduced stakes as it is a exhibition.

WTA

Broady (2.38) v Silva (1.67)

Due to start at 11:30 am

Silva leads their previous matches 2-1. Both her wins were last week on indoor courts. Broady’s win was also indoors in 2013.

Their overall results are pretty even in the last 12 months and in 2020. Silva has slightly better hard court results.

Silva has played 13 matched during Covid and has won 10 of them. This week she took Heather Watson to 3 sets.

Broady’s 2020 matches have all been during the lockdown. She has played 23 matches. Ten of those were on hard courts. She won 5 of them. Those wins were against opponents outside the top 600. She has lost both her matches this week without winning a set. She started both as favourite.

Hopefully Broady can make the better start. Back Silva round 2.10. I would remove some or all of the liability if Silva then breaks an holds serve.

WTA

Burrage (1.27) v Grey (3.75)

Due to start at 11:30 am

Burrage won their only previous match which was earlier this month on a hard court. She won in straight sets.

Burrage has better overall results in the last 12 months and also in 2020. Her hard court results are also stronger and especially so in 2020. She has won 17 of 21 matches on hard courts (81%).

Burrage has been underdog in both her matches this week. She lost to Raducanu in straight sets and beat Harriet Dart in 3.

Grey won 5 of her 7 hard court matches in an exhibition 3 weeks ago. Broady was the only player that she beat who was inside the top 500. She met Broady again this week and beat her comfortably in 2 sets.

This should be a close match. We have some value on Silva.

Lay Burrage around 1.20 and remove liability at 1.40. Back Burrage if she loses the first set.

ATP

Peniston (6.8) v Norrie (1.15)

Due to start at 1 pm

They have met just once before. Norrie won on a hard court last month in 3 sets.

Norrie has stronger overall results in the last year and also in 2020.

Peniston gave Kyle Edmund a real scare in their match this week. Edmund eventually won 10-8 in the 3rd set match tie break.

Norrie has played 2 matches this week. He beat Jan Choinski as a short priced favourite in 2 sets. He then had an excellent win over Dan Evans in 2 tie breaks.

If Norrie is motivated then he will win but if he takes that win for granted we can see him trade about his start price.

Try a small lay around 1.10 and remove the liability around 1.20 to 1.25. Back Norrie if he loses set 1.

WTA

Watson (1.24) v Lumsden (4.76)

Due to start at 2:30 pm

This will be their first meeting.

Watson has stronger overall results in the last year and in 2020. Their hard court win percentages are fairly even although Watson has played a lot more matches and faced much tougher opponents.

After a slow start in her first match this week she has looked pretty good. That match was her first since the tour was suspended in March.

Lumsden had not played on hard courts before this week since September. She has played 8 indoor matches during lockdown and won 4 of them. This week she has won both her matches. She had a real fight with Alicia Barnett in her first match. She won that in a close 3rd set match tie break. She then beat Naomi Broady as underdog in straight sets.

I’ll be surprised if Watson loses this one but I do expect Lumsden to be competitive. Lay Watson around 1.15 to 1.20 and remove the liability around 1.30. Back Watson if she gets broken first and Lumsden also holds her own serve. A small lay on the first set 1 winner is a decent plan especially if Lumsden takes the set.

ATP

Evans (1.67) v Edmund (2.24)

Due to start at 4:30 pm

Edmund leads their previous meetings 3-2. Evans has won their last 2 matches on hard courts including a straight sets win earlier this week.

Evans has slightly better overall results in the last 12 months. They are quite evenly matched in 2020. Evens has much better hard court results in the last year.

Evans has played 7 matches in the 2 Battle of the Brits exhibitions. He had his first loss in his last match. That was against Cameron Norrie. He lost in 2 tie breaks.

Edmund has only lost 2 of his Battle of the Brits matches. Both those losses were against Dan Evans. Edmund was almost beaten by 394 ranked Ryan Peniston in his most recent match this week. Edmund won the 3rd set match tie break.

I expect both players to raise their games today. Edmund didn’t have many chances in their match this week. Back Evans around 2.00 to 2.10. I think it is worth laying the first set winner. This is going to be tight. I give Evans a slight edge.

 

Six matches today.

EXHIBITION = REDUCED STAKES! Don’t worry the main tour returns on Monday!

WTA

Broady (1.74) v Lumsden (2)

Due to start at 11:30 am

Broady won their only previous meeting. That was indoors last week and she won in straight sets.

Overall results favour Broady in the last 12 months and also in 2020. Lumsden has better hard court results.

Broady has played 9 hard court matches during lockdown. She won 5 of them. She had more success in her 13 indoor matches. She won 11 of those. This week she lost to Sarah Beth Grey as a 1.48 favourite. She lost in straight sets.

Before this week Lumsden had only played 8 matches during Covid and all of them were indoors. She won 4 of them. This week she beat Alicia Barnett in a tight third set match tie break. She had started as slight favourite.

If this was being played indoors then I would give the edge to Broady but on hard courts Lumsden should be a little stronger.

Lay Broady around 1.40 to 1.50 and remove liability around 2.00. Back Lumsden if she loses set 1.

WTA

Burrage (2.12) v Dart (1.79)

Due to start at 11:30

This will be their first meeting.

Burrage has a much better win percentage in the last 12 months and also in 2020. She also leads on hard courts.

Dart has not played a match during the lockdown. She last played in an ITF tournament in Mexico. She lost easily on a hard court as strong favourite.

Burrage has played a few matches during the CoronaVirus break. She won her first 10 matches. Seven of those were on hard courts. She has played 2 more matches since then. One was a 3 set loss to Katie Boulter indoors. That was 2 weeks ago. Earlier this week she lost to Emma Raducanu in straight sets. They were priced evenly.

Dart starts as slight favourite but she has not made the best start to this season. We have some value on Burrage. The sets should be close.

Lay Dart around 1.50 and remove liability at 2.00. Lay the set 1 winner.

ATP

Choinski (2) v Broady (1.74)

Due to start at 12:30

They met for the first time earlier this week. Broady was expected to win but lost in straight sets.

Broady has better overall results. Neither has good stats on hard courts.

Choinski has played over 50 matches during the lockdown. It certainly seems to have improved his game.

Broady has lost 4 of his 5 matches during Covid. His only win was far from impressive against an inexperienced player who is outside the top 500.

Broady may have learned a thing or 2 about Choinski’s style of play but I still give Choinski the edge.

Lay Broady around 1.50 and remove liability around 2.00. Back Choinski if he loses set 1.

WTA

Watson (1.34) v Raducanu (2.8)

Due to start at 12:30 pm

This will be their first meeting.

Both players have won over 70% of their matches in the last 12 months and also in 2020.

Watson made a slow start to her first match this week. Her only match during the pandemic. She lost the opening set but fought back well to take it in 3 sets.

Raducanu has won both her matches during lockdown including a win over Jodie Anna Burrage this week. She won in straight sets.

Watson should win this but lets hope she makes another slow start. A bad start today is less likely than it was yesterday. Lay Watson if she break serve in the first few games. Remove the liability around 1.40. Back her if she gets broken or if she loses set 1.

ATP

Matusevich (1.44) v McHugh (2.84)

Due to start at 2 pm

This is their first meeting.

Both players are inexperienced but Matusevich has performed much better in 2020. He has won 6 of his 9 matches. McHugh has won 2 of 8.

Matusevich took Broady to 3 sets this week.

McHugh’s best win was over 790 ranked Billy Harris.

Back Matusevich around 1.75 to 1.85.

ATP

Peniston (7.6) v Edmund (1.11)

Due to start at 4:30 pm

This will be their first meeting.

Peniston has a chance if Edmund doesn’t show up. He has beaten 1 player ranked inside the top 500 in 2020. That was a win over 469 ranked Nick Chappell in February.

No value.