Daily match picks

It’s an exhibition so you’re advised to use reduced stakes.

They have allowed less than an hour for each match so they are using a changed format. Flashscores indicate that they are using the fast 4 format. First to 4 games with a tie break at 3-3. They probably won’t play Advantage from deuce so at 40-40 the next point wins the game.

Bencic (1.3) v Teichmann (3.2)

Due to start at 2:30 pm

Bencic won their only previous meeting. That was in November 2017 in an indoor Challenger quarter final. She won in straight sets.

Overall results strongly favour Bencic in the last 12 months and also in 2020. Her indoor results are a little better.

Teichmann has only played 3 matches during lockdown. They were on clay. Bencic has played 3 matches on clay and 2 on hard courts. She only lost 1 of those matches which was on clay against Schmiedlova. She beat Vondrousova and Martincova on hard courts in straight sets. In both those matches she won the opening set 6-0.

Bencic can often start slowly if her opponent puts her under pressure. She should control this match but i don’t want to enter at 1.30. Back her if Teichmann gets the first break or if she somehow takes the first set.

Voegele (2.1) v Golubic (1.67)

Due to start at 3:20 pm

Voegele has won both their previous meetings. The most recent was in April 2019 on clay. She won easily in 2 sets. The other match was indoors in 2016. She won in 3 sets.

Their 12 month overall results are quite even but Voegele has stronger results this season. Both players have decent indoor results. Golubic has not played indoors since April 2019. Voegele had 4 wins in qualifying rounds indoors in October last year.

Golubic has played just 2 matches during the pandemic. Both were on clay earlier this month. She beat Svitolina and Teichmann.

Voegele played 2 clay matches during lockdown. She narrowly beat Teichman and Simona Wiltert in 3 sets. She lost on a hard court to Kristyna Pliskova last week.

Golubic has beaten stronger opponents indoors but her best results were in 2018.

This could be a close one. Some value on Voegele. We have a decent chance of 3 sets. I will be backing whoever gets broken first. I give Golubic a slight edge and would prefer her to make the slower start. Anything over 2.20 to 2.30 is a decent price to back her. Lay the set 1 winner.

Hingis (1.83) v Schnyder (2.2)

Due to start at 4:10 pm

Patty Schnyder won both their previous matches. Both were in 2017 on a hard court and a clay court.

Hingis last played on the main tour in 2015. Schnyder last played in 2018, mainly in ITF events. She played mainly on clay that season.

There really is no way to assess accurately who is in better shape. For all we know they have been bingeing on donuts and chocolate. It will be an interesting one to watch but personally I won’t be placing any bets on this match.

Hingis has the better pedigree and if i had to pick a winner it would be her. I’d wait for 2.10 or better before entering.

 

Just 10 days until we get proper tennis!

This one’s an exhibition so use REDUCED STAKES.

Marterer (2) v Stebe (1.78)

Due to start at 11:30 am

Stebe leads their previous meetings 2-1. They last met earlier this week. Stebe won comfortably in 2 sets. He has won both their clay matches. Marterer won on a hard court at the Australian Open in 2018.

Their win percentages on all surfaces in the last 12 months are very even. Stebe has played a lot more matches.

Longer term clay results favour Stebe but they are evenly matches in 2020 with each player winning over 70% of their matches.

Marterer has played 15 matches during the pandemic. He won 11 of those but his only decent win was over Yannik Hanfmann earlier this week.

Stebe has played 14 clay matches during the lockdown. He has won 10 of them. He has also played a lot of low ranked opponents but does have 2 wins over Daniel Masur, a win over Yannick Maden and this week’s win over Marterer.

This should be competitive but I have to favour Stebe. Back him around 2.20 but if he gets a very early break, lay him and remove liability if Marterer breaks back.

Update: Stebe broke Marterer’s serve in the first game of the match. Marterer eventually broke back for 4-4 and then broke again to take the set. In set 2 Stebe broke in the first game and raced to a 5-1 lead. He served for the set at 5-2 but was injured and was forced to retire.
Marterer won 6-4, 2-5(ret). Note that when Stebe was a double break up in the second set that was the time to either remove liability or to hedge as his price would not have dropped much further in the set.

Hanfmann (1.62) v Otte (2.26)

Due to start at 1 pm

Hanfmann leads their previous matches 2-1. Both their clay matches were during Covid. Otte won their match this week in 3 sets. Hanfmann had beaten him quite easily 2 weeks ago.

Overall results are a lot stronger for Hanfmann in the last 12 months and also in 2020. He has won 40 of his 52 matches (77%) this season. Otte has won 11 of 18 (61%).

Their win percentages on clay are quite similar but Hanfmann has played significantly more matches this season. He has played 37 clay matches compared to Otte’s 13 matches. Hanfmann has won 31 of those matches (84%) in 2020.

Otte has won all 3 of his matches this week as underdog. We have some value on him today and I think we will see 3 sets.

Lay Hanfmann if he gets the first break of serve and remove liability when Otte breaks back. Otte has lifted his level this week but I expect Hanfmann to want some revenge. Back Hanfmann around 2.20 to 2.30. Lay the set 1 winner.

Update: Otte was broken in the first game of the match but he immediately broke back. He took a 5-2 lead and served for the set at 5-3 but was broken. Hanfmann took the set 7-5. In the second set Hanfmann broke for a 2- lead and Otte retired.
Hanfmann won 7-5, 2-1(ret)