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ATP Brisbane
Medvedev 1.37 v Nakashima
Due to start at 8:30 am
Confidence rating 7.5/10
Medvedev 2-0. Most recent Apr 2025, clay, 3 sets. He won on hard in March 2023, 2 sets. 12 month hard win %’s are quite even.
Medvedev had a 2 sets win over Fucsovics in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Tiafoe in the 2nd round. He needed 3 sets against Majchrzak in the Quarter final. 2 sets win over Michelsen in the Semi final.
He reached the Semi finals in Shanghai 2025, Semi finals in Beijing 2025, Quarter finals in Washington 2025, Semi finals in Indian Wells 2025, Quarter finals in Dubai 2025, Quarter finals in Doha 2025.
Nakashima had a straight sets win over Fokina as underdog in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Halys in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Collignon in the Quarter final. 2 tight sets win over Kovacevic in the Semi final.
He reached the Quarter finals in Tokyo 2025, Semi finals in Chengdu 2025, Quarter finals in Washington 2025, 4th Round in Miami 2025, 4th Round in Indian Wells 2025, Semi finals in Acapulco 2025, Quarter finals in Delray Beach 2025.
12 month stats are a little better for Nakashima on serve. Return stats are much better for Medvedev. Stats for their last 10 on hard favour Medvedev overall.
Back Medvedev around 1.85 to 1.95 and remove liability at 1.45.
Match prediction: Medvedev in 2 sets
