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ATP Montreal
Jodar 1.48 v Nakashima
Due to start at 11 pm
Confidence rating 7/10
1st meeting. Hard win %’s favour Jodar.
Jodar had a 3 sets win in the 2nd round as favourite. Easy win over Musetti in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Lehecka as slight favourite in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Fils in the q final as slight underdog.
He reached the Final in Washington 2026, 3rd Round in Miami 2026.
Nakashima reached the 3rd round last year. Easy win over Altmaier in the 2nd round. He needed 3 sets against Droguet in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Rinderknech as favourite in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Darderi in the q final.
Semi finals in Washington 2026, Semi finals in Acapulco 2026, Final in Brisbane 2026, Quarter finals in Tokyo 2025, Semi finals in Chengdu 2025.
12 month and 2026 stats favour Nakashima on serve. Return stats are much stronger for Jodar.
The sets will be close. Chance of 3 sets.
Lay Jodar around 1.30 and remove liability at 1.60. Back Jodar around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
Match prediction: Jodar in 3 sets.
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