WTA Charleston
Alexandrova v Shnaider 1.74
Due to start at 5 pm
This will be their 1st meeting. Clay win %’s are better for Shnaider.
Alexandrova lost in the 2nd round last year. Easy win over Li in the 2nd round. 2nd round in Strasbourg. She has a poor record on clay. The faster green clay may help her.
Shnaider had a 2 sets win over Polina Kudermetova in the 2nd round. She won the title in Budapest in July. Challenger title in May. 3rd round in Rome.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Shnaider.
Back Shnaider around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
Update:
The green clay DID help Alexandrova. It also can’t have hurt her that her new coach used to coach Shnaider!
Shnaider was broken in the first game. I backed her. She immediately broke back and I removed most of the liability. Unfortunately, Shnaider fell apart after that. She was broken twice more in the set. I ended up taking a tiny profit before the 3rd break.
Alexandrova won 6-2, 6-1.
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Info for using the Trading Tip.
Keep stakes low while learning the tennis markets.
The prices I give are where I suggest we enter the market. I am looking for the price to hit during set 1, and hopefully early in the set to give us time to get our exit price.
I will often say to lay Player A “around 1.25”. If the price gets close to that price we can enter. In this example we might enter at 1.27.
We are then looking for our exit price. I will post to remove liab or liability/risk/red at a particular price. I will often remove at least some of the liability if our player gets a break point and then remove any remaining liability when the break is complete. It can be frustrating if our player gets break points but doesn’t break. By removing some liability, we improve our break even price so if they don’t get the break of serve, we are still in profit.
If the advice is to lay the set 1 winner: If I am expecting the match to go to 3 sets, I want to lay whoever takes the first set. However, if the player who lost the set is serving first in set 2, it can be a good idea to wait for them to have their service game before laying. Even if they get broken, we can lay after that first service game. Laying a player when they are a set and a break ahead is a solid entry as the leading player will often relax and allow the other player back into the set.
As a general guide, until you are experienced enough to make your own choices and trading decisions, I recommend exiting the trade if your player gets broken AFTER you backed them. There will, of course be situations when they do recover but it’s best to protect your confidence as much as you should protect your bank.
