WTA Charleston
Dolehide v Cocciaretto (1.97)
Due to start at 4 pm
This is their 1st meeting. Clay win %’s are a little better for Cocciaretto.
Dolehide reached the 2nd round last year. She reached the 3rd round in Madrid.
Cocciaretto reached the 2nd round last season. She made the 4th round of the French Open. Q finals in Rabat.
12 month WTA clay stats are stronger for Cocciaretto. Hard stats are better for Dolehide which could help her on these green clay courts.
Lay Cocciaretto around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.10. Fair chance of 3 sets.
Update:
Dolehide was broken in the first game of the match. I laid Cocciaretto. She was broken to 15 in the next game and I removed half my liability.
Dolehide was broken again in the next game! I laid Cocciaretto again. 3 games later, Cocciaretto faced break points. On the second one, I removed all my liability to leave a free bet on Dolehide.
Cocciaretto was not broken in that game but was broken in her next service game. This took the score to 4-4.
At this point, I could hedge or leave the free bet on Dolehide. I stayed with the free bet.
Dolehide held serve to lead 5-4 and broke Cocciaretto in the next game to take the set 6-4.
Dolehide had ended set 1 stronger and I decided not to lay her in set 2. She took a 3-0 lead in the set and a second break gave her a 5-1 lead. She faced 3 break points but held to take the set and the match.
Dolehide won 6-4, 6-1.
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Info for using the Trading Tip.
Keep stakes low while learning the tennis markets.
The prices I give are where I suggest we enter the market. I am looking for the price to hit during set 1, and hopefully early in the set to give us time to get our exit price.
I will often say to lay Player A “around 1.25”. If the price gets close to that price we can enter. In this example we might enter at 1.27.
We are then looking for our exit price. I will post to remove liab or liability/risk/red at a particular price. I will often remove at least some of the liability if our player gets a break point and then remove any remaining liability when the break is complete. It can be frustrating if our player gets break points but doesn’t break. By removing some liability, we improve our break even price so if they don’t get the break of serve, we are still in profit.
If the advice is to lay the set 1 winner: If I am expecting the match to go to 3 sets, I want to lay whoever takes the first set. However, if the player who lost the set is serving first in set 2, it can be a good idea to wait for them to have their service game before laying. Even if they get broken, we can lay after that first service game. Laying a player when they are a set and a break ahead is a solid entry as the leading player will often relax and allow the other player back into the set.
As a general guide, until you are experienced enough to make your own choices and trading decisions, I recommend exiting the trade if your player gets broken AFTER you backed them. There will, of course be situations when they do recover but it’s best to protect your confidence as much as you should protect your bank.
