Katerina Siniakova (CZE) v Qinwen Zheng (CHN)
Due to start at 1 pm
Siniakova lost in the first round last year to Gauff in 2 sets. This week she made it through the qualifying rounds and beat Navarro in the first round as underdog. She won in straight sets. She reached the second round at Wimbledon. In July she won the title in Bad Homburg.
She has had a decent season so far winning 21 of her 33 matches on all surfaces.
Zheng lost in the first round to Kudermetova last season. This week, she beat Osaka in 3 sets as underdog. She lost all 3 of her grass matches in 2023. She made the third round at Wimbledon in 2022.
She has also had a good season so far which included reached the Australian Open final. On clay she reached the quarter finals in Rome and the third round of the French Open. She won 19 of her 29 matches on all surfaces.
Siniakova has a better win percentage on grass in the last 12 months. WTA grass stats for the last year are better for Siniakova overall. Zheng has better stats for first serve points won percentage.
Hard stats in 2024 favour Zheng on serve and favour Siniakova on return.
The players are priced evenly. The sets should be close. Zheng served well against Osaka and hit 23 aces. Siniakova also served well in the last round and faced just 2 break points. She was broken just once. I think this goes to 3 sets. I give a slight edge to Zheng to win.
Lay Siniakova around 1.65 and remove some or all liability at 2.10.
