Third round
Zidansek 2.28 v Cornet 1.75
Due to start at midnight
1st meeting. Long term overall win percentages favour Zidansek. Win percentages on hard favour Cornet.
Cornet has not lost a set so far and beat Muguruza in the last round. Muguruza blamed it on her whole team catching Covid and that she had to train alone. In the first round, Cornet beat Tomova. It wasn’t a spectacular performance and she was broken 3 times. Her first serve percentage was low at 47%.
In her first round win over Rus, Zidansek faced 13 bp’s and was broken 4 times in 3 sets. In the last round, Watson also broke her 4 times. Zidansek hit 6 double faults.
Stats for the tournament favour Cornet. Stats for their last 10 WTA hard matches favour Cornet.
Decent chance of 3 sets but I favour Cornet to win. Back her around 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70. Lay the set 1 winner.
Update: The first set was a mess. The first 5 games were breaks. Zidansek broke the cycle and held to lead 4-2. She hung on to take the set. As Cornet was serving first in set 2, I waited for her to have her service game before laying. That worked well as she was broken. I laid Zidansek. Four games later, Cornet was broken again. My liability wasn’t huge and I added a little more to my position on Cornet. She took the next 5 games to win the set. I hedged.
In the 3rd set, Cornet took a 2-0 lead. Zidansek broke straight back but was broken again. Another break for Cornet gave her the match.
Cornet on won 4-6, 6-4, 6-2.
