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ATP Nur Sultan, Second round
Gerasimov v Taberner
Due to start at 12:00
Long term overall win % are better for Taberner. He has a poor indoor record winning 16 of his 33 matches. Gerasimov won 33 of 50 indoors.
I thought Taberner would lose to Berankis in the last round but won in 2 sets as underdog. He has had an excellent season so far but the vast majority of his matches have been on clay.
Gerasimov beat Paire in 2 sets. He reached the semis in Montpellier in Feb. He has had a disappointing season over all. He reached the q finals of this tournament last season.
Back Geras around 2.00 to 2.10 and remove liab at 1.50
WTA Ostrava, Second round
Sorribes Tormo v Bencic
Due to start at 5pm
1st meeting. Overall long term win % are strong for both.
Bencic has a much better indoor record. She won 33 of her last 50. Sorribes Tormo won 13 of her 27 matches.
Sorribes Tormo reached the q finals last season as a qualifier. She reached the 3rd round at the US Open, the semis in Cleveland, the quarter finals in Montreal and the 3rd round at the Olympics. She usually struggles against the top players.
Bencic lost quite weakly to Samsonova last week. She was perhaps ready for a break after all her success on hard courts. She took the gold in Tokyo and reached the quarter finals at the US Open and in Cleveland.
If Bencic is motivated she should win this. She often starts matches slowly but is usually good at recovering. Lay Bencic around 1.30 to 1.35 and remove liability at 1.70. Back Bencic above 2.00 and remove liability at 1.55.