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WTA Chicago, Semi Final
Vondrousova v Muguruza
Due to start at 7 pm
Muguruza 1-0 (Feb 2021, hard, 2 sets). Long term overall win % are strong for both but favour Muguruza. She also leads on hard courts. She won 37 of her last 50. Vondrousova won 33 of 50.
Stats for their last 10 on hard courts favour Vondrousova even though they both won 7 of 10 matches.
Vondrousova came through a real battle in the last round to beat Collins in a 3rd set tie break.
Muguruza has had an easy week. Her toughest opponent, Azarenka withdrew before their 2nd round match.
Some value on Vondrousova although the match last night could have taken a lot out of her physically and mentally. Lay Muguruza around 1.40 to 1.50 and remove liability at 2.00. Lay the set 1 winner. I give a slight edge to Muguruza to win in 3 sets.