WTA US Open Final 2021

WTA US Open Final

Raducanu v Fernandez

Due to start at 9 pm

Raducanu won their only previous meeting. That was in the Juniors at Wimb 2018. She won in 2 sets.

Her win % on hard courts is better in 2021. She won 17 of her 20 matches. Fernandez won 17 of 25. Raducanu has come through the qual rounds. She has not lost a set in her 9 matches. In form Bencic and Sakkari were unable to cope with her powerful return game and consistent serving. She has been broken 5 times in her 6 main draw matches.

In the last 3 rounds, Raducanu has struggled in her first service game. She was broken by Rogers and Bencic and was 15-40 down against Sakkari before recovering to hold.

Fernandez’ last 4 matches went to 3 sets. Three of those opponents were top 10 players. Fernandez is a real fighter. She has also served well though has looked a little more vulnerable. 

Stats for the tournament strongly favour Raducanu. Even if we compare just the main draw matches, her stats are a lot better. Fernandez has faced tougher opponents over all. Raducanu is rightly the favourite but is priced too low.  I think she takes this, which seems crazy to say when a few months ago she couldn’t cope with a 4th round match at Wimbledon and retired after a panic attack.

If they both play their best tennis this could be an amazing match. Back Raducanu around 2.00 and remove liability at 1.55. Surely she won’t win the whole tournament in 2 sets so we have a good chance of it going the distance.

Update: Raducanu served first and held fairly easily. In Fernandez’ first service game, she saved 5 bp but was eventually broken. Raducanu was immediately broken back and Fernandez then held for 2-2.

In Raducanu’s next service game she went 0-30 down and her price was around 2.00. She held serve. There were no more breaks until Fernandez served at 4-5. She saved 3 set points but Raducanu broke to take the set.

In set 2, Fernandez won the first break of serve to lead 2-1. She was broken straight back and another break for Raducanu eventually gave her the chance to serve for the title. She had a fall in that final game and as she was a break point down, the game was stopped for her to get a cut to her knee patched up. She saved the bp and also had to save another one before she held serve with an ace.

Raducanu won 6-4, 6-3.

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