Daily match picks

ATP Washington, First round

Johnson v Ramanathan

Due to start at 8:30 pm

Johnson 1-0 (July 2018, grass, 3 sets). Long term hard win % are better for Johnson. He won 31 of his last 50. Ramanathan has a better win % on hard this season. He won 12 of 17 on hard in 2021.

Johnson has a decent record in Washington but not so much recently. He has been in the semis twice and the q finals once.

Ramanathan has played Challengers on hard this season. He reached the q finals in the Lexington Challenger and the final of the Cary Challenger in July. He has had very little success in main tour hard court events other than reaching the semis in ATP Pune in November 2019.

If Johnson is not sharp then he will have problems with Ramanathan but if he is near his best, especially on serve, he wins. Back Johnson around 1.90 to 2.00 and remove liability around 1.60. Back Johnson if he loses set 1.

ATP Washington, First round

Pospisil v Korda

Due to start at 8:30 pm

Posp 1-0 (Nov 2019, indoors, 2 sets). Long term overall win % are better for Korda. He won 36 of his last 50. On hard courts Pospisil has a slight lead winning 30 of his last 50. Korda won 27 of 50. Results this season and in the last 12 months on hard favour Korda.

Pospisil reached the 4th round at the US Open 2020 but has not had much hard court success since. He has had some tough draws to be fair.

Korda reached the q finals in Miami in March, beating Schwartzman and Karatsev. He reached the final at ATP Delray Beach in Jan.

We have a fair chance of 3 sets but Korda is starting to fulfil some of his potential and his confidence is high. Back Korda around 1.95 to 2.10 and remove some or all liability at 1.55. Back him if he loses set 1.

WTA San Jose, First round

Yastremska v Liu

Due to start at 9:30

H2H 1-1. Most recent June 2018, grass, Liu in 2 sets. Yastremska won on grass in 2016, 2 sets. Both have won 30 of their last 50 on hard.

Yastremska reached the 3rd round in New York in Aug 2020. In Jan 2020 she reached the final in Adelaide and in Feb 2020 reached the 3rd round in Doha.

All Liu’s good hard results were in ITF’s. In Feb. she reached the semi finals in Orlando and the final in Boca Raton, USA. IN March she reached the final in the Newport Beach ITF tournament.

Back Yastremska around 2.20 and remove liab around 1.65. Lay the set 1 winner.

 

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ATP Washington, hard. First round

Paul v Galan

Paul 3-0. Most recent Feb 2020, hard, 2 sets. Both his hard court wins were in 2020, 2 sets.

Long term hard results are much better for Paul. He has never lost a 1st round match in Washington.

Galan reached the 3rd round In Miami in March but other than that, most of his good results on hard were in Challengers.

Back Paul around 1.85 to 2.00 and remove some or all liability around 1.45.

ATP Washington, hard. First round

Nishikori v Querrey

Nish 6-4. Most recent Oct 2018, hard, Nishikori in 2 sets.

Long term hard win % are much better for Nishikori. He has better results in the last year.

Querrey’s recent form has been poor. He won 2 of 8 in the last 12 months on hard.

Nishikori reached the qfinals at the Olympics. He hasn’t had a huge amount of time to recover and travel to the US. That is reflected in the price. Back Nishikori around 1.95 and remove some or all liability around 1.40.